Singapore and Malaysia National Giant Stocks (国庆财股)

Posted on August 9, 2020 Written by
Singapore Stocks DBS OCBC Singtel UOB

Both Singapore and Malaysia celebrate National Day in the month of August. It is timely to share the 4 National Giant Stocks in each country which preserve the national wealth. Learn from Dr Tee on how to position these stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis.

4 Singapore National Stocks:

1) DBS (SGX: D05)

2) Singtel (SGX: Z74)

3) OCBC (SGX: O39)

4) UOB (SGX: U11)

4 Malaysia National Stocks:

1) Maybank (Bursa: 1155)

2) Top Glove (Bursa: 7113) / (SGX: BVA)

3) Hartalega (Bursa: 5168)

4) Public Bank (Bursa: 1295)

Stock market is a hidden way to preserve and grow the national wealth. For Singapore SGX, there are 30 large cap stocks in STI Index (^STI), which can be sorted below by size of market cap (share price x number of shares) with ROE (Return on Equity):

No       Name  / Market Cap(M) (ROE, %)

1          DBS Bank (SGX: D05) 52304 (12.3)

2          Singtel (SGX: Z74) 38761 (4.0)

3          OCBC Bank (SGX: O39) 38413 (10.3)

4          UOB Bank (SGX: U11) 32687 (11.0)

5          Wilmar International (SGX: F34) 30509 (7.7)

6          Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36)  29865 (9.4)

7          Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37)   22731 ( 6.1)

8          Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92) 15195 (20.1)

9          CapitaLand (SGX: C31) 13844 (8.8)

10        Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U) 12489 (4.8)

11        Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L) 10346 (-0.1)

12        ST Engineering (SGX: S63) 10042 (26.0)

13        Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4) 9830 (6.3)

14        Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68) 9236 (37.9)

15        Hongkong Land USD (SGX: H78) 8635 (0.5)

16        Genting Singapore (SGX: G13) 8204 (8.5)

17        Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U) 8027 (8.2)

18        Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07) 7659 (12.8)

19        Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U) 7490 (10.3)

20        City Development (SGX: C09) 7463 (5.2)

21        CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U) 6937 (9.0)

22        CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U) 6294 (6.0)

23        Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU) 6130 (9.4)

24        Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01) 5897 (26.8)

25        UOL (SGX: U14) 5491 (4.8)

26        Venture Corporation (SGX: V03) 5449 (14.5)

27        YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6) 3801 (10.0)

28        Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96) 3394 (3.1)

29        SATS (SGX: S58) 3017 (10.4)

30        ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52) 2990 (10.2)

It is clear that the Top 4 stocks with the largest market cap in Singapore are DBS (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC (SGX: O39) and UOB (SGX: U11). Company size may not be the right criteria of a giant stock, therefore an investor has to monitor business fundamental changes (especially during COVID-19 pandemic), eg with ROE and other indicators.

For 30 STI stocks, only Singapore Airlines, SIA (SGX: C6L) records losses in last financial year. For 30 STI stocks, COVID-19 has different degrees of impact on near future business.  There is also on-going crisis, eg. low optimism crude oil price which affects the Oil & Gas sector, including Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4) and Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), which may take longer time to recover with strong support of sponsor, Temasek.

3 major bank stocks (DBS, OCBC, UOB) in Singapore have contributed to about 1/3 of Singapore stock market. Bank stocks are sensitive to interest rate changes, therefore current low interest rates globally (driven by nearly 0% interest rate by the Fed of US) have reduced the Net Interest Margin (NIM), resulting in lower interest related income. At the same time, Non-Performing Loan (NPL) is increasing during COVID-19, banks have to increase more provision funds to prepare for possible default in loan payment of some countries, including Oil & Gas sector (eg. Hin Leong which has high debt to 3 major banks).  As a result, it is not surprised to see bank stocks report poorer quarterly results for Q1 and Q2 / 2020.

MAS has requested 3 major banks in Singapore to cap the dividend payment for FY2020 to maximum of 60% of FY2019. This implies for an average dividend yield of 6%, an investor may only receive 6 x 0.6 = 3.6% for the next 1 year. As a result, 3 major bank stocks were under significant price correction recently (which also affect performance of STI). However, a long term bank stock investor should not consider dividend payment as a criteria to decide on investing. In fact, the share price correction of over 3% in 1 week has compensated for the “loss” of dividend (which is kept as retained earnings in balance sheet, a form of saving for investor, similar to many REITs in Q1 and Q2 / 2020 to preserve cash).

Here is a list of 30 Banking & Finance stocks in Singapore, an investor may focus on 3 major bank stocks:
AMTD IB OV (SGX: HKB), B&M Hldg (SGX: CJN), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Edition (SGX: 5HG), G K Goh (SGX: G41), Global Investment (SGX: B73), Great Eastern (SGX: G07), Hong Leong Finance (SGX: S41), Hotung Investment (SGX: BLS), IFAST Corporation (SGX: AIY), IFS Capital (SGX: I49), Intraco (SGX: I06), Maxi-Cash Finance (SGX: 5UF), MoneyMax Finance (SGX: 5WJ), Net Pacific Finance (SGX: 5QY), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), Pacific Century (SGX: P15), Prudential USD (SGX: K6S), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), SHS (SGX: 566), Sing Investments & Finance (SGX: S35), Singapore Reinsurance (SGX: S49), Singapura Finance (SGX: S23), TIH (SGX: T55), Uni-Asia Group (SGX: CHJ), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), UOB-KAY HIAN HOLDINGS (SGX: U10), UOI (SGX: U13), ValueMax (SGX: T6I), Vibrant Group (SGX: BIP).

Singtel is also a crisis giant stock in bearish Telco sector (started a few years before COVID-19), an investor who “Buy Low” may get Lower in share price, gaining dividend yield (eg. 5%) but making capital loss (lower share price). Telco business is saturated, economic moat is narrow as most Telco services could be easily replaced by other competitors, therefore profit margin is lower with intense competition not only in local market but also in regional market (Singtel has over 50% revenue from overseas markets).

OCBC, UOB and Singtel are relatively at lower optimism region while DBS is at moderate optimism level. Each giant stock requires different strategy (crisis, cyclic, growth, etc) in positioning, either for short term trading or long term investing.

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Malaysia Bursa with 30 KLCI (^KLCI) stocks, top 4 giant stocks by market cap has significant changes recently. Maybank (Bursa: 1155) is still the largest but both Top Glove (Bursa: 7113) / (SGX: BVA) and Hartalega (Bursa: 5168) have surpassed Public Bank (Bursa: 1295), mainly due to speculation in stocks during COVID-19 for glove related stocks.  Top Glove has dual listing in both Malaysia Bursa and Singapore SGX, therefore the wealth of a nation could be shared by global investors, regardless of nationality.

Here is a list of 30 Malaysia Bursa KLCI Index component stocks which may be considered (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
CIMB (Bursa: 1023) CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD, DIALOG (Bursa: 7277) DIALOG GROUP BERHAD, DIGI (Bursa: 6947) DIGI.COM BERHAD, GENM (Bursa: 4715) GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD, GENTING (Bursa: 3182) GENTING BERHAD, HAPSENG (Bursa: 3034) HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD, HARTA (Bursa: 5168) HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BERHAD, HLBANK (Bursa: 5819) HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD, HLFG (Bursa: 1082) HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD, IHH (Bursa: 5225) IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD, IOICORP (1961) IOI CORPORATION BERHAD, KLCC (Bursa: 5235SS) KLCC PROPERTY HOLDINGS BERHAD, KLK (Bursa: 2445) KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD, MAXIS (Bursa: 6012) MAXIS BERHAD, MAYBANK (Bursa: 1155) MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD, MISC (Bursa: 3816) MISC BERHAD, NESTLE (Bursa: 4707) NESTLE MALAYSIA BERHAD, PBBANK (Bursa: 1295) PUBLIC BANK BERHAD, PCHEM (Bursa: 5183) PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD, PETDAG (Bursa: 5681) PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD, PETGAS (Bursa: 6033) PETRONAS GAS BERHAD, PMETAL (Bursa: 8869) PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD, PPB (Bursa: 4065) PPB GROUP BERHAD, RHBBANK (Bursa: 1066) RHB BANK BERHAD, SIME (Bursa: 4197) SIME DARBY BERHAD, SIMEPLT (Bursa: 5285) SIME DARBY PLANTATION BERHAD, TENAGA (Bursa: 5347) TENAGA NASIONAL BHD, TM (Bursa: 4863) TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD, TOPGLOV (Bursa: 7113) TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.

Strong fundamental stocks (eg. glove business) with market greed usually result in market speculation or bubble.  Each positive news would be used as a reason to buy high for share prices. Despite strong business fundamental, glove stocks are more suitable for short term trading with trend-following strategies, Buy High Sell Higher.  However, due to relative high optimism level, each unexpected correction may incur high losses if a trader does not have a trading plan with S.E.T. (Stop Loss, Entry, Target) prices.

Maybank and Public Bank are aligned with Singapore and global banks at relatively lower optimism levels. Bank stocks are cyclic in nature, therefore investing in national banks (usually supported by local government) during global financial crisis would have higher chances of success for longer term investors who could overcome the market fear, investing with progressive entries of capital (eg. 10 x 10%, 5 x 20%, 2 x 50%, etc). Saving in banks would receive less than 1% return in interest but investing in giant bank stocks could receive over 100% return over a market cycle.

Each country or region has its own national blue chip stock. For example, TSMC (NYSE: TSM) contributed to 1/3 of Taiwan TSEC Stock Index (^TWII). With bullish semiconductor / 5G stocks, TSMC has doubled its share price in 6 months, contributing to higher index value of Taiwan stock market.  TSMC has monopoly of 5 nanometer technology in wafer fab, a crucial pillar for emerging 5G Telco business over the next 10 years.

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Dilemma of investors for global growth stocks (eg. technology, glove, healthcare, etc) are share prices are not cheap when market is not fearful. Therefore, crisis is always an opportunity, especially when a stock price drops significantly during an unexpected crisis (eg. COVID-19 pandemic) but business fundamental is not much affected or even growing.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr webinar to learn how to position in global giant stocks during COVID-19 stock crisis with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

This is the first time, 4hr bonus investment course by Dr Tee is conducted through Webinar (learning at comfort of home with Zoom), a rare opportunity to learn remotely, profiting from Covid-19 stock crisis.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Macroeconomy, Market Cycle Investing, Market Outlook, Stock Market, Technical Analysis Tagged: , , , , ,

Dr Tee Video Education: Defensive Investing Strategies during Stock Crisis (危机入市的防御性投资策略)

Posted on June 24, 2020 Written by
Defensive Stock Investing Strategies

In this Dr Tee 1-hr video education (Defensive Investing Strategies during Stock Crisis ), you will learn:
1) Bull (Unlimited Quantitative Easing) vs Bear (COVID-19)
2) Value Investing Strategy – Dividend Stock Investing with Singapore Giant REIT as Case Study
3) Value Investing Strategy – Growth Stock Investing with Malaysia Giant Stock as Case Study
4) Investing Personalities: Kiasu vs Kiasi
5) Defensive Investing Strategies during Stock Crisis.

Here is English Version of Dr Tee Video Course (Chinese version is also available as Dr Tee is bilingual). Enjoy and give your comments for improvement. You may subscribe to Dr Tee Youtube channel (Ein Tee) for future Dr Tee video talks. Collect 3 extra bonuses here.

English Video: https://youtu.be/_shZqTa1eEs

在这Dr Tee 60分钟教育视频（危机入市的防御性投资策略），您可学习：
1） 牛市（无限量化宽松）与熊市（新冠病毒）。
2） 价值投资策略 – 高息股（新加坡房地产信托股个例）。
3） 价值投资策略 – 成长股（马来西亚成长强巨股个例）。
4） 投资性格 – 怕输与怕死。
5） 危机入市的防御性投资策略。

这儿是 Dr Tee 华语视频 （英语视频也已完成，Dr Tee 双语皆行）。请欣赏鄙作，留言求进步。您可订阅 Dr Tee Youtube 频道(Ein Tee)，链接未来投资视频。这里得额外三红利。

Chinese Video (华语视频): https://youtu.be/kOZ05rc_XRY

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Defensive investing strategies may be considered for a portfolio of 10-20 global giant stocks with multiple entries, protected by dividend stocks during bearish market with bonus of capital gains with growth stocks during bullish market.

For investors who don’t know how to select individual giant stocks, may consider stock indices ETF of countries with growing economies, eg. Singapore STI, Malaysia KLCI, Hong Kong HSI, US S&P 500 and Nasdaq, Germany DAX, etc. Therefore, some index component stocks may be applied for defensive stock investing strategies.

This defensive investing strategy may be applied to 30 Singapore STI index component stocks (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

Below are all the 30 Singapore STI component stocks, sorted by 2 key strategies (Growth vs Dividend) with 2 minimal Fundamental Criteria:
1) ROE (a criteria for growth stock, eg. ROE > 5% to ensure efficient business) + Dr Tee Giant Stock criteria is needed.
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 5%, depending on strategy) + Dr Tee Giant Stock criteria is needed.

NameTickerDiv Yield (%)ROE (%)
Ascendas ReitA17U4.37.4
CapitaLand Commercial TrustC61U5.06.0
CapitaLandC314.18.8
CapitaLand Mall TrustC38U5.99.0
City DevelopmentC090.95.2
ComfortDelGroC526.310.2
DBS BankD055.912.3
DairyFarm USDD014.626.8
Genting SingaporeG135.28.5
HongkongLand USDH785.30.5
JMH USDJ364.19.4
JSH USDJ371.66.1
Jardine C&CC075.612.8
Keppel CorpBN43.36.3
Mapletree Commercial TrustN2IU4.09.4
Mapletree Industrial TrustME8U4.110.3
Mapletree Logistics TrustM44U4.28.2
OCBC BankO395.910.3
SATSS586.215.1
Singapore ExchangeS683.735.9
Singapore AirlinesC6L0.8-9.1
ST EngineeringS634.526.0
Sembcorp IndustriesU962.63.1
SingtelZ744.84.0
Thai BeveragesY923.020.1
UOB BankU115.311.0
UOLU142.54.8
Venture CorporationV034.314.5
Wilmar InternationalF343.07.7
YZJ Shipbuilding SGDBS64.710.0

Not all Singapore STI component stocks are giant stocks, some could be weaker fundamental stocks (eg. making losses or asking investors for reserved passive incomes through rights issues). Even for a giant stock, it requires at least yearly review with Dr Tee criteria to ensure it is still a giant stock or a change in strategy may be required (eg. crisis stock investing if there is any potential high risk). Similarly, those stocks which are not highlighted in this article, some could be marginal giant stocks, may obtain the giant stock title one day, which worth longer term investing or trading.

A smart stock investor has to further select the right type of giant stock to align with own personality to be successful in short trading, medium term investing or long term investing, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy / Sell.

This powerful strategy can be extended to global giant stocks including 30 Malaysia Bursa KLCI Index component stocks (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
CIMB (Bursa: 1023) CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD, DIALOG (Bursa: 7277) DIALOG GROUP BERHAD, DIGI (Bursa: 6947) DIGI.COM BERHAD, GENM (Bursa: 4715) GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD, GENTING (Bursa: 3182) GENTING BERHAD, HAPSENG (Bursa: 3034) HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD, HARTA (Bursa: 5168) HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BERHAD, HLBANK (Bursa: 5819) HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD, HLFG (Bursa: 1082) HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD, IHH (Bursa: 5225) IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD, IOICORP (1961) IOI CORPORATION BERHAD, KLCC (Bursa: 5235SS) KLCC PROPERTY HOLDINGS BERHAD, KLK (Bursa: 2445) KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD, MAXIS (Bursa: 6012) MAXIS BERHAD, MAYBANK (Bursa: 1155) MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD, MISC (Bursa: 3816) MISC BERHAD, NESTLE (Bursa: 4707) NESTLE MALAYSIA BERHAD, PBBANK (Bursa: 1295) PUBLIC BANK BERHAD, PCHEM (Bursa: 5183) PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD, PETDAG (Bursa: 5681) PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD, PETGAS (Bursa: 6033) PETRONAS GAS BERHAD, PMETAL (Bursa: 8869) PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD, PPB (Bursa: 4065) PPB GROUP BERHAD, RHBBANK (Bursa: 1066) RHB BANK BERHAD, SIME (Bursa: 4197) SIME DARBY BERHAD, SIMEPLT (Bursa: 5285) SIME DARBY PLANTATION BERHAD, TENAGA (Bursa: 5347) TENAGA NASIONAL BHD, TM (Bursa: 4863) TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD, TOPGLOV (7113) TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.

Below are all the 30 Malaysia Bursa KLCI Index component stocks, sorted by 2 key strategies (Growth vs Dividend) with 2 minimal Fundamental Criteria:
1) ROE (a criteria for growth stock, eg. ROE > 5% to ensure efficient business) + Dr Tee Giant Stock criteria is needed.
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 5%, depending on strategy) + Dr Tee Giant Stock criteria is needed.

NoCompanyDiv Yield (%)ROE (%)
1AXIATA (Bursa: 6888) AXIATA GROUP BERHAD3.04.5
2CIMB (Bursa: 1023) CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD8.24.7
3DIALOG (Bursa: 7277) DIALOG GROUP BERHAD1.015.2
4DIGI (Bursa: 6947) DIGI.COM BERHAD4.5212.0
5GENM (Bursa: 4715) GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD9.4-3.5
6GENTING (Bursa: 3182) GENTING BERHAD6.6-0.2
7HAPSENG (Bursa: 3034) HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD4.814.8
8HARTA (Bursa: 5168) HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BERHAD0.620.4
9HLBANK (Bursa: 5819) HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD3.48.7
10HLFG (Bursa: 1082) HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD2.98.8
11IHH (Bursa: 5225) IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD0.8-0.8
12IOICORP (1961) IOI CORPORATION BERHAD1.86.5
13KLCC (Bursa: 5235SS) KLCC PROPERTY HOLDINGS BERHAD5.05.6
14KLK (Bursa: 2445) KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD2.26.9
15MAXIS (Bursa: 6012) MAXIS BERHAD3.920.1
16MAYBANK (Bursa: 1155) MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD8.99.1
17MISC (Bursa: 3816) MISC BERHAD4.4-1.0
18NESTLE (Bursa: 4707) NESTLE MALAYSIA BERHAD2.090.8
19PBBANK (Bursa: 1295) PUBLIC BANK BERHAD4.611.4
20PCHEM (Bursa: 5183) PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD3.25.2
21PETDAG (Bursa: 5681) PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD4.06.2
22PETGAS (Bursa: 6033) PETRONAS GAS BERHAD5.013.9
23PMETAL (Bursa: 8869) PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD1.013.1
24PPB (Bursa: 4065) PPB GROUP BERHAD1.75.7
25RHBBANK (Bursa: 1066) RHB BANK BERHAD6.68.3
26SIME (Bursa: 4197) SIME DARBY BERHAD4.35.5
27SIMEPLT (Bursa: 5285) SIME DARBY PLANTATION BERHAD0.85.4
28TENAGA (Bursa: 5347) TENAGA NASIONAL BHD9.25.9
29TM (Bursa: 4863) TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD2.48.6
30TOPGLOV (Bursa: 7113) TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD2.337.5

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There are over 1500 giant stocks in the world based on Dr Tee criteria, choice of 10 Dream Team giant stocks have to align with one’s unique personality, eg. for shorter term trading (eg. momentum or swing trading) or longer term investing (cyclic investing, undervalue investing or growth investing). Readers should not just “copy and paste” any stock (What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell) as successful action taking requires deeper consideration (LOFTP strategies – Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis) which you could learn further from Dr Tee Free 4-hr Webinar.

Zoom will be started 30 min before event, bonus talk (Q&A on any investment topics from readers) for early birds. There are many topics we will cover in this 4hr webinar, Dr Tee can have more time for Q&A if you could stay later after the webinar.

Dr Tee will cover over 20 case studies, Singapore giant stocks, eg. CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Top Glove (SGX: BVA), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Vicom (SGX: WJP) and many others, Malaysia giant stocks, Hong Kong giant stocks and US giant stocks, both long term investing and short term trading.

There are limited tickets left for this 4hr free webinar, please ensure 100% you could join when register: www.ein55.com

Filed Under: Fundamental Analysis, Market Cycle Investing, Stock Market, Value Investing Tagged: , , , , ,

8 Glove Stocks & 6 Sectors Profit in COVID-19 (易如反掌)

Posted on June 1, 2020 Written by
Crisis glove stocks Top Glove Hartalega Kossan Supermax Riverstone Covid-19

In this article, you will learn 8 glove manufacturer stocks in Singapore and Malaysia and 6 other sectors which could profit from Covid-19 crisis, each requiring unique stock strategies for investing or trading.

1) Top Glove (SGX: BVA) / (Bursa: 7113) – Singapore / Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

2) Hartalega (Bursa: 5168) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

3) Kossan (Bursa: 7153) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

4) SuperMax (Bursa: 7106) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

5) Riverstone (SGX: AP4) – Singapore Giant Glove Stock

6) Comfort Gloves (Bursa: 2127) – Malaysia Glove Stock

7) Careplus (Bursa: 0163) – Malaysia Glove Stock

8) Rubberex (Bursa: 7803) – Malaysia Glove Stock

Crisis is opportunity for stock investing, especially true for glove manufacturers during Covid-19 crisis as demand for gloves are surging. In the past 1 decade, glove stocks are in the best time of era, strong growing business supported by 4 main factors:

1) Growing economy – higher manufacturing needs, especially glove is consumable (cheap but frequently used / replaced), recurring income.

2) Pandemic – higher healthcare needs, including Covid-19, H1N1 and other virus outbreaks.

3) Lower cost – especially for latex glove as rubber price has been low optimism due to bearish global commodity market. Thailand and Malaysia are rubber main producers, supplying to factories of these glove manufacturers within the same countries, saving more cost.

4) Stronger USD – forex becomes advantage for glove manufacturers as local expenses are mostly paid in ringgit but customers are based from overseas (world), therefore collecting payment (incomes) in USD which is stronger relative to ringgit. Of course, this advantage may become a weakness in future when USD becomes weaker.

Fundamentally, Covid-19 crisis helps to improve the business of these glove stocks, Q1/2020 financial results are even stronger than previous year. A strong fundamental business when encounter high demand due to market greed (which may be due to fear), the share price could be speculated higher.

Strong Fundamental + Market Greed = Positive Speculation

[Higher Sales + Stronger (USD/MYR) – Lower Cost] + Higher Greed (Pandemic Fear) = Higher Share Price

Indeed, all of these 8 glove stocks have surged more than 2 times in share prices over the past few months of Covid-19 pandemic. However, the current prices are at high optimism, mainly suitable for very short term momentum trading (Buy High Sell Higher). 

Top Glove (listed in both Singapore and Malaysia), Hartalega, Kossan and SuperMax are considered the Big Four of glove manufacturers in Malaysia, all are giant stocks (based on Dr Tee criteria), will be discussed in further.  Riverstone is a smaller player (listed in Singapore) but having strong business fundamental, will have more comments as well later. As for other 3 glove stocks (Comfort Gloves, Careplus, Rubberex) which are smaller in size, only have stronger business over the past 5 years (likely due to leftover demand, competing with lower prices or niche market), mainly suitable for short term trading, not a giant stock.

So, we will elaborate here mainly on 5 giant glove stocks (Top Glove, Hartalega, Kossan, SuperMax, Riverstone) which may be considered for both longer term investing (when correcting below a fair price with holding power) and short term trading (following S.E.T. trading rule – Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices).

1) Top Glove (SGX: BVA) / (Bursa: 7113) – Singapore / Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

Top Glove is the world’s largest rubber glove manufacturer with many types of latex and nitrile gloves from manufacturing facilities in Malaysia, Thailand and China. Founder and major shareholder is Lim Wee Chai (27% ownership), also the No 14 richest person in Malaysia (Forbes’ List), supported mainly by rising share prices over the 2 past decades (share price goes up over 500 times since IPO till now). Top Glove has become 1 of 30 KLCI component stock, showing its business strength.

Top Glove has dual listing in Malaysia Bursa (longer history) and Singapore SGX. The relative stock performance are aligned but due to different group of investors, short term share price in SGX (BVA) is even more bullish than in Bursa (7113). Fundamentally, each share (SGX or Bursa) is the same but short term share price may not be due to difference of forex (SGD/MYR) alone.

Top Glove is a strong growth stock (supported by growing businesses with strong cash flow) but highly leveraged (high debt) to expand its capability further, strengthening its position as world’s largest glove manufacturer. Scale of economy is also a form of economic moat, position as bigger player could help to lower down the unit cost, therefore increase the profit margin.

Due to high optimism in share price, Top Glove may be considered as a mid-fielder stock (aiming for high capital gains with little dividend yield as bonus). It may also be considered for very short term momentum trading despite share price is speculated (Buy High Sell Higher strategy).

2) Hartalega (Bursa: 5168) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

Hartalega is the world’s largest nitrile glove manufacturer. Founder and major shareholder is Kuan Kam Hon (about 50% ownership with family), also the No 9 richest person in Malaysia (Forbes’ List), supported mainly by rising share prices over the past decade (share price goes up nearly 100 times since IPO till now). Hartalega has become 1 of 30 KLCI component stock, showing its business strength.

Hartalega main product of nitrile glove has higher profit margin compared to latex (rubber) glove. However, this profitable product segment also attracts many competitors, therefore the high growth of Hartalega is getting slower, now is more aligned (sustainable rate) with other major competitors, sharing the big pie of glove industries.

Hartalega is a strong growth stock (supported by growing businesses with strong cash flow) with lower debt level (having potential to expand further with more leveraging if needed). Scale of economy is also a form of economic moat, position as bigger player (nitrile glove) could help to lower down the unit cost, therefore increase the profit margin.

Due to high optimism in share price, Hartalega may be considered as a mid-fielder stock (aiming for high capital gains with little dividend yield as bonus). It may also be considered for very short term momentum trading despite share price is speculated (Buy High Sell Higher strategy).

3) Kossan (Bursa: 7153) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

Kossan is the world’s second largest glove manufacturer (technical rubber products, medical gloves, cleanroom products, etc). Founder and major shareholder is Lim Kuang Sia (about 50% ownership), was in 2017 Forbes’ List for Malaysia No 30 richest person, supported mainly by rising share prices over the past 2 decades (share price goes up about 60 times since IPO till now).

Kossan is a strong growth stock (supported by growing businesses with strong cash flow), performance is comparable with the main competitor, Top Glove. Kossan has moderate debt level, having potential to expand further with more leveraging if needed. The glove industry is big enough for major players to share the big global pie of growing demand for gloves in manufacturing and healthcare sectors.

Due to moderate high optimism in share price (compared to other 4 giant glove stocks at high optimism), Kossan has more upside potential, may be considered as a mid-fielder stock (aiming for high capital gains). It may also be considered for very short term momentum trading despite share price is speculated (Buy High Sell Higher strategy).

4) SuperMax (Bursa: 7106) – Malaysia Giant Glove Stock

SuperMax is a leading medical / latex gloves manufacturer. Founder and major shareholder is Thai Kim Sim (about 40% ownership together with wife) who was charged with insider trading in Year 2017. However, this negative news does not stop investors from supporting SuperMax, share price goes up about 60 times over the past 2 decades. During Covid-19 pandemic, SuperMax share price is the most bullish among 5 giant stocks, surging over 5 times in a few months time.

Among 5 giant glove stocks, SuperMax has relatively weaker business (but still a giant stock), earning has been declining despite growing revenue, indicating weaker profit margin which is not comparable with other competitors. Due to very high optimism in share price, SuperMax is more speculative in short term. For longer term investing, other 4 giant stocks are relatively safer for consideration. 

5) Riverstone (SGX: AP4) – Singapore Giant Glove Stock

Among 5 giant glove stocks, Riverstone is the smallest player but it has its niche market. Riverstone manufactures cleanroom glove (eg. hard disk drive and semiconductor) and healthcare gloves. Founder and major shareholder is Wong Teek Son (about 50% ownership), also the No 44 richest person in Malaysia (Forbes’ List), supported mainly by rising share prices over the past decade (share price goes up nearly 20 times since IPO till now).

Riverstone is a Malaysia company but stock is listed in Singapore, therefore the share price potential is also partially affected by Singapore stock market. Choice of stock exchange for listing does not affect the company fundamental (same share ownership) but due to different characteristic of global investors in each stock exchange (eg. US, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia), etc, would make a big difference in share prices which is the ultimate goal for a company to be listed.  As a result, certain stock exchange is more popular of IPO stocks but may not be fundamentally strong.  So, a stock investor has to consider a stock or even stock exchange, aligning with own personality and strategy, either on long term investing or short term trading.

Riverstone is a strong growth stock (supported by growing businesses with strong cash flow), a small player with potential to expand further with more leveraging if needed (current debt level is very low). A giant stock is not determined by its business size, if Riverstone could remain highly profitable within its niche market (also a form of economic moat), it can be a good stock investment.

Due to high optimism in share price, Riverstone may be considered as a mid-fielder stock (aiming for high capital gains with little dividend yield as bonus). It may also be considered for very short term momentum trading despite share price is speculated (Buy High Sell Higher strategy).

=====================================

Top Glove and Riverstone are not 30 STI index component stocks but they are much stronger than most of these blue chip stocks in Singapore (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

Some investors may be envy of owners of these 5 giant stocks which most founders are Top 50 richest persons in Malaysia. In fact, the easiest way to get very rich may not be through a business. Rather, it is through stock market with a growing business to support the rising share prices which could be over 10-100 times in wealth after IPO (易如反掌). This is the reason why for successful businesses, most of the founders plan to list the stock at certain point of time.

Since all 5 glove giant stocks are mostly controlled (over 50% shares ownership) by founders and families, a key consideration for long term investing is on succession plan to either second generation or capable professionals. A smart retail stock investor has to review a giant stock yearly or even quarterly to ensure it is still a giant stock before continuing the long term support. A sector may not be bullish all the time, including glove industry as profitable business usually would attract many potential competitors which would reduce the profit margins with lower price, lower sales or higher cost.

Here is a list of 30 Malaysia Bursa KLCI Index component stocks which may be considered (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
CIMB (Bursa: 1023) CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BERHAD, DIALOG (Bursa: 7277) DIALOG GROUP BERHAD, DIGI (Bursa: 6947) DIGI.COM BERHAD, GENM (Bursa: 4715) GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD, GENTING (Bursa: 3182) GENTING BERHAD, HAPSENG (Bursa: 3034) HAP SENG CONSOLIDATED BERHAD, HARTA (Bursa: 5168) HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BERHAD, HLBANK (Bursa: 5819) HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD, HLFG (Bursa: 1082) HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP BERHAD, IHH (Bursa: 5225) IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD, IOICORP (1961) IOI CORPORATION BERHAD, KLCC (Bursa: 5235SS) KLCC PROPERTY HOLDINGS BERHAD, KLK (Bursa: 2445) KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BERHAD, MAXIS (Bursa: 6012) MAXIS BERHAD, MAYBANK (Bursa: 1155) MALAYAN BANKING BERHAD, MISC (Bursa: 3816) MISC BERHAD, NESTLE (Bursa: 4707) NESTLE MALAYSIA BERHAD, PBBANK (Bursa: 1295) PUBLIC BANK BERHAD, PCHEM (Bursa: 5183) PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BERHAD, PETDAG (Bursa: 5681) PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD, PETGAS (Bursa: 6033) PETRONAS GAS BERHAD, PMETAL (Bursa: 8869) PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDINGS BERHAD, PPB (Bursa: 4065) PPB GROUP BERHAD, RHBBANK (Bursa: 1066) RHB BANK BERHAD, SIME (Bursa: 4197) SIME DARBY BERHAD, SIMEPLT (Bursa: 5285) SIME DARBY PLANTATION BERHAD, TENAGA (Bursa: 5347) TENAGA NASIONAL BHD, TM (Bursa: 4863) TELEKOM MALAYSIA BERHAD, TOPGLOV (Bursa: 7113) TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.

Covid-19 could be a crisis for most sectors but there are still few sectors could remain profitable or having less impact than overall economy. Besides glove stocks, there are 6 other sectors which may be considered for stock investing during pandemic:

1) Supermarket stocks – eg. Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), Costco (NASDAQ: COST). etc. NTUC Fairprice is not publicly listed but it has limited private shares for members of NTUC Fairprice, paying about 6% yearly dividend yield. Those supermarket stocks with online business would have more advantages during pandemic.

2) Telco / 5G stocks – eg. Singtel (SGX: Z74), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Xiaomi (HKEx: 1810), AT&T (NYSE: T), Verizon (NYSE: VZ), etc.

3) Semiconductor / Technology stocks – eg. Micro-mechanics (SGX: 5DD), UMS Holdings (SGX: 558), AEM (SGX: AWX), Frencken (SGX: E28), TSMC (NYSE: TSM), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), AMD (NASDAQ: AMD), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM), Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), etc.

4) Online / Software stocks – eg. BAT-FAANG stocks: Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU), Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) / (HKEx: 9988), Tencent (HKEx: 0700), Facebook (NASDAQ: FB), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), Google / Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), etc.

5) Healthcare stocks – eg. 3M (NYSE: MMM), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ: GILD), Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL), Q&M Dental Group (SGX: QC7), IHH Healthcare (SGX: Q0F), etc.

6) Stock Index ETF or stocks – eg. stronger defenders of major stock indices (STI, KLCI, DJI, S&P 500, MSCI, etc). STI ETF (SGX: ES3) / (SGX: G3B) or STI index component stocks with stronger businesses: DBS Bank (SGX: D05), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX, C38U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), etc.

A stock investor may study Q1-Q2 / 2020 financial reports to compare the global giant stocks relatively to understand impact of Covid-19 for 3 group of stocks during pandemic with 3 unique stock strategies:

1) Profitable stocks – trading at higher prices with momentum trading (similar to glove stocks, Buy High Sell Higher strategy).

2) Defensive stocks – stable business with some price correction, collecting higher dividend yield or gradual growth in share prices (Buy Low and Hold strategy).

3) Crisis stocks – business disrupted by Covid-19 but no major risk (eg. bankruptcy), buying at low optimism price with cyclic investing or trading (Buy Low Sell High strategy).

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr investment course to learn how to position in global giant stocks with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Learn further from Dr Tee valuable 7hr Online Course, both English (How to Discover Giant Stocks) and Chinese (价值投资法: 探测强巨股) options, specially for learners who prefer to master stock investment strategies of over 100 global giant stocks at the comfort of home.

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25 MSCI Singapore & 30 STI Stocks (仙人指路)

Posted on May 30, 2020 Written by
30 STI Index Component Stocks New MSCI Singapore

Both MSCI Singapore Index (SiMSCI, 25 stocks) and Straits Times Index (STI, 30 stocks) are important guidance for Singapore stock investors on “Good” stocks for investing. In this article, you will learn on how to invest in index stocks in a right way. MSCI Singapore Index has recently removed 4 blue chip stocks (which are also 30 STI component stocks) from the list:

1) ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52)

2) SATS (SGX: S58)

3) Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96)

4) Singapore Press Holdings, SPH (SGX: T39)

and adding only 1 stock as replacement: Mapletree Logistics Trust, MLT (SGX: M44U), a giant Singapore REIT, which is also 30 STI component stock.

MSCI Singapore Index component stock selection criteria is stricter than STI index (only based on trading market capitalization, a weaker blue chip stock with high trading volume may still stay) although most of the component stocks of both indices are similar.

Comfortdelgro (taxi business) and SATS (airlines sector) are affected by recent Covid-19 crisis, having good chance to come back again to MSCI Singapore when sector crisis is over, business could recover to support reversal of share prices with higher trading volume.

Sembcorp Industries (utility sector) has weaker business, especially in Oil & Gas sector with subsidiary stock, Sembcorp Marine (SGX: S51) which has losing business due to bearish crude oil market. Similarly, SPH (newspaper/media & property businesses) has declining press business over the past decade, supported mainly by property business (including subsidiary SPH Reit, SGX: SK6U). For both Sembcorp Industries and SPH, they are harder to come back again to MSCI Singapore Index as it would take a long term for overall business to recover again.

These 4 blue chip stocks delisted from MSCI Singapore Index may not be delisted from 30 STI in near future as they still have high trading volume, despite bearish share prices.  CapitaCom Trust – CCT (SGX: C61U) will be the next to be delisted from 30 STI when it is merged with CapitaMall Trust – CMT (SGX: C38U) around June 2020. If so, the 5 reserve stocks of STI in waiting list are:

1) Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U)

2) Suntec REIT (SGX: T82U)

3) Keppel REIT (SGX: K71U)

4) Keppel DC REIT (SGX: AJBU)

5) Netlink NBN Trust (SGX: CJLU)

These 5 emerging STI stocks (dividend-based stocks, all are REITs / Business Trust) are selected purely based on trading market capitalization (trading price x trading volume). Therefore, not all are giant REITs (based on Dr Tee giant criteria). Stock investors who follow either 30 STI or 25 MSCI Singapore Index component stocks may not invest in high quality stocks.

Below are the 30 STI component stocks based on the last price traded (29 May 2020), sorted by trading market cap (share price x volume) from low to high (selection criteria for 30 STI is the Top 30 stocks with the highest values).

Despite DairyFarm and ThaiBev have stronger business fundamental than most 30 STI stocks, they have the lowest trading market cap, therefore having higher risk of being delisted in future.  The earlier 4 blue chip stocks which are delisted from MSCI Singapore Index are relatively “safe” in 30 STI due to high trading volume, despite weaker business with bearish share prices. From stock investing perspective, it does not make sense at all but this is the rule of the game.

NoNameTickerLast $VolumeTrading Market Cap
1Dairy Farm International(SGX: D01)4.221,9638,282
2Thai Beverage(SGX: Y92)0.6318,77411,827
3Hongkong Land(SGX: H78)3.765,77021,694
4Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH(SGX: J37)19.951,08921,730
5UOL(SGX: U14)6.844,21828,850
6Venture Corporation(SGX: V03)15.31,96830,105
7Genting Singapore(SGX: G13)0.78541,44132,531
8City Development(SGX: C09)7.694,42434,018
9Jardine Cycle & Carriage(SGX: C07)21.861,57534,427
10YZJ Shipbldg SGD(SGX: BS6)0.9439,56037,187
11ST Engineering(SGX: S63)3.1912,02938,373
12Wilmar International(SGX: F34)3.9812,23148,681
13CapitaLand Commercial Trust(SGX: C61U)1.7528,11349,197
14CapitaLand(SGX: C31)2.8917,75151,301
15Keppel Corp(SGX: BN4)5.9110,23160,466
16Singapore Airlines(SGX: C6L)3.8216,55163,225
17Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH(SGX: J36)40.151,58663,697
18Mapletree Commercial Trust(SGX: N2IU)243,28386,567
19CapitaLand Mall Trust(SGX: C38U)2.0355,627112,924
20OCBC Bank(SGX: O39)8.5513,772117,751
21Ascendas Reit(SGX: A17U)3.1338,228119,653
22Singapore Exchange(SGX: S68)8.2815,306126,734
23DBS Bank(SGX: D05)19.477,941154,613
24Sembcorp Industries(SGX: U96)1.36115,462157,028
25Singtel(SGX: Z74)2.4971,375177,724
26SPH(SGX: T39)1.28205,814263,442
27UOB Bank(SGX: U11)19.513,724267,622
28SATS(SGX: S58)2.66102,907273,732
29ComfortDelGro(SGX: C52)1.44255,744368,272
30Mapletree Logistics Trust(SGX: M44U)2.05314,294644,303

Since trading market capitalization is insufficient, a stock investor should include minimum 3 key Fundamental Criteria for 3 types of stocks: Growth / Dividend / Undervalue:
1) ROE (a criteria for growth stocks, eg. ROE > 5%),
2) Dividend Yield, DY (a criteria for dividend stocks, eg. DY > 5%),
3) Price-to-Book (PB) ratio, Price/NAV (a criteria for undervalue stocks, eg. PB < 1).

In each of the category, additional stock criteria has to be included to ensure they are giant stocks (based on Dr Tee criteria). For example, SPH has 8.6% dividend yield, it does not mean it is a good dividend stock as this high yield is generated with declining dividend and low share prices, driven by weaker business fundamental which is a value trap.

No) Stock (Ticker): ROE (Div Yield %) PB = Price/NAV
1) Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U) 7.4% (4.4%) 1.5
2) CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U) 6.0% (5.1%) 1.0
3) CapitaLand (SGX: C31) 8.8% (4.1%) 0.6
4) CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U) 9.0% (5.9%) 1.0
5) City Development (SGX: C09) 5.2% (1.0%) 0.7
6) ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52) 10.2% (6.8%) 1.2
7) Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01) 26.8% (5.0%) 4.7
8) DBS Bank (SGX: D05) 12.3% (6.4%) 1.0
9) Genting Singapore (SGX: G13) 8.5% (5.1%) 1.2
10) Hongkong Land (SGX: H78) 0.5% (5.9%) 0.2
11) Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07) 12.8% (5.4%) 0.9
12) Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36) 9.4% (4.3%) 1.0
13) Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37) 6.1% (1.8%) 0.6
14) Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4) 6.3% (3.4%) 1.0
15) Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU) 9.4% (4.0%) 1.1
16) Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U) 8.2% (4.0%) 1.6
17) OCBC Bank (SGX: O39) 10.3% (6.2%) 0.8
18) SATS (SGX: S58) 15.1% (7.1%) 1.8
19) Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96) 3.1% (3.7%) 0.4
20) Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68) 35.9% (3.6%) 8.2
21) Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L) -1.4% (0.8%) 0.8
22) Singtel (SGX: Z74) 4.0% (4.9%) 1.5
23) SPH (SGX: T39) 5.8% (8.6%) 0.6
24) ST Engineering (SGX: S63) 26.0% (4.7%) 4.5
25) Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92) 20.1% (3.4%) 2.7
26) UOB Bank (SGX: U11) 11.0% (5.6%) 0.9
27) UOL (SGX: U14) 4.8% (2.6%) 0.6
28) Venture Corporation (SGX: V03) 14.5% (4.6%) 1.8
29) Wilmar International (SGX: F34) 7.7% (3.1%) 1.1
30) Yangzijiang (SGX: BS6) 10.0% (4.8%) 0.6

For a stock to be listed in 30 STI or even 25 MSCI Singapore Index (to be reviewed quarterly), it implies more support from global investors, especially for institutional investors who view index as key guidance (仙人指路). However, the stock selection criteria based on trading market cap is insufficient, therefore a smart investor should select 10-20 global giant stocks over 3 sectors and 3 countries (eg. Singapore, US, Hong Kong or any country with growing economy), forming own fund (no management fee is needed).

Choice of global stock market is important on type of giant stocks (Defenders / Mid-fielders / Strikers), as well as personality of investor (eg. long term investing or short term trading). Defender stocks aim for dividend collection, Striker stocks are more for quicker return (eg. trading momentum stocks) while Mid-fielder stocks is a well-balance between capital gains and moderate dividends.

1) Singapore stock market is more suitable for dividend stocks (eg. Singapore REITs) but growth is limited with defensive strategy alone. Global stock crisis is a good opportunity to pick up some strong giant dividend stocks with high dividend yield. High dividend yield

2) US stock market is more suitable for growth stocks (investing) or momentum stocks (trading) but minimal dividend to protect investors during correction. An investor may focus on stocks with strong business fundamental as a form of protection. A trader may need to monitor the price trends, following S.E.T. (Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices) trading plan.

3) Hong Kong stock market has a good mix of dividend and growth stocks but become center of political power fighting between US and China, therefore prices are more volatile which may be suitable for those higher risk tolerance investors and traders.

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“Sell in May and Go Away” happen again for Singapore (STI Index) and Hong Kong (HSI) Index stock markets for Year 2020. A reason for month of May (Q2) to be bearish could be due to final dividend given in Q2, some investors start to sell after the harvest or the share prices drop after significant dividends are given out, especially when there are news of uncertain financial markets.

Singapore and Hong Kong have many good dividend giant stocks. Price correction after Ex-Dividend is common, especially when combine with this psychological barrier in May. Dividend is just a bonus, more important is Capital Gains for a giant dividend stock.

For US and other global stock markets (eg. Malaysia, Germany, Japan, Taiwan, etc.), mostly have positive gains in May 2020. In fact, US S&P 500 Index is recovering above critical resistance of 3000 points again, an important milestone to support short term trading, especially with Buy High Sell Higher trading strategy. US Nasdaq Index is above 9000 points, challenging the new historical of 10000 points, supported by bullish technology sector of stocks.

Therefore, a stock investor or trader needs to equip with more skills to profit in current global stock market. Start learning 5 essential LOFTP Strategies (Level / Optimism / Fundamental / Technical / Personal Analysis).

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr investment course to learn how to position in global giant stocks with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Learn further from Dr Tee valuable 7hr Online Course, both English (How to Discover Giant Stocks) and Chinese (价值投资法: 探测强巨股) options, specially for learners who prefer to master stock investment strategies of over 100 global giant stocks at the comfort of home.

You are invited to join Dr Tee private investment forum (educational platform, no commercial is allowed) to learn more investment knowledge, interacting with over 9000 members.

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5 Global Stock Exchanges Stocks (独占鳌头)

Posted on May 22, 2020 Written by
Singapore Exchange Stock HKEx ICE NASDAQ Bursa Malaysia

In this article, you will learn 5 global stock exchanges which are also giant stocks in respective countries with applications of 5 unique stock investing strategies.

1) Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68) – Singapore Stock Exchange Giant Stock

2) Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE) – US NYSE Stock Exchange Giant Stock

3) Nasdaq Inc (NASDAQ: NDAQ) – US NASDAQ Stock Exchange Giant Stock

4) Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEx: 388) – Hong Kong Stock Exchange Giant Stock

5) Bursa Malaysia (Bursa: 1818) – Malaysia Stock Exchange Giant Stock

All stock trading activities (buy or sell) have to go through stock exchange, sometimes there is only 1 stock exchange, especially for smaller country such as Singapore, therefore having monopoly advantage (独占鳌头) as an economic moat for the stock exchange business. There is also low risk for a stock exchange to go bankrupt as it is too important to fail without support. Therefore, stock of a stock exchange in a country with growing economy may be considered for longer term investing.  However, stock performance of each stock exchange can be different, therefore requiring different strategies, eg. growth, cyclic, dividend, momentum, etc.

Business of stock exchanges are not limited to listing and trading of stocks (equities), may be extended to derivatives (eg. commodities / forex / indices – futures, options, etc), ETFs, bonds (fixed income) and other services.  Even a country (eg. US) may have a few stock exchanges but most global stocks only have 1 primary stock exchange for listing (eg. choosing between NYSE or NASDAQ stock exchanges), therefore it is still monopoly in nature (similar to certain show is only available in certain TV channel, no other choice for consumers).

Here, we will focus on 5 common global and local stock exchanges, ranked by market capitalization: No 1 (NYSE / ICE), No 2 (NASDAQ), No 6 (HKEx), No 21 (SGX) and No 25 (Bursa). US NYSE and NASDAQ alone, have already contributed to about 50% of the world stock value, usually are the first choice for global investors and institution in trading, as well as top 2 choices for potential IPO companies, having easy access to global capital to expand the businesses.

Singapore only contributes to about 1% of world stock value.  Therefore, Singapore stocks could not affect the US, but US stocks could affect Singapore and the whole world. So, even readers may be interested in 100% Singapore stocks, it is important to pay attention to US stocks and also US economy (also contributing to half of world economy).  Hong Kong & China (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges) contribute to about 10% of world stock value, not comparable with size of China as No 2 world economy.

Stock exchanges when listed as stocks, price movement is aligned with local economy and stock market index performance.  However, stock exchanges could make money in both bullish and bearish stock market as its business in equity is dependent on trading volume, not high or low of stock prices. Therefore, in recent global stock crisis with fear of Covid-19, trading volume surges to a high (initiated by fearful sellers who hope to sell stocks to minimize downside risk), contributing to strong earnings to exchanges stocks, even during pandemic period of Q1 2020.

1) Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68) – Singapore Stock Exchange Giant Stock

Singapore Exchange was formed in Year 1999 with merging of Stock Exchange of Singapore (SES), Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX) and Securities Clearing and Computer Services Pte Ltd (SCCS). Since listed in Year 2000, Singapore Exchange has initiated a series of expansion with acquisition, including Singapore Commodity Exchange (futures) and Baltic Exchange (freight indices). Temasek is the largest shareholder (23.3%) of Singapore Exchange, providing additional protection as a strong sponsor.  Japan Exchange is the second largest shareholder (3.4%) but investing Singapore Exchange with high share prices in bullish Year 2007.

Singapore Exchange reports improving business results over the past few years (under new CEO, Loh Boon Chye, since Year 2015), supporting its share prices to a new high over the past 10 years. Main earnings contributor is derivatives trading (eg. futures of commodity / forex / indices) which is about half of company net income, following by about 1/3 from equities (stocks), remaining are fixed income (eg. bonds) and other services. In addition, there are increasing customers outside Singapore / Asia, contributing to growing revenue, despite Singapore stock market may not be so active. There are about 800 stocks listed in SGX, an important source of income for Singapore Exchange through stock trading and clearing fees.

Singapore Exchange is the only stock in 30 STI component stocks not affected by recent global stock crisis with Covid-19. In fact, its current share price is even higher than before Covid-19, exceeding $10/share resistance before. Singapore Exchange is a strong fundamental stock with over 30% ROE over the past decade (no debt most of the time), setting a good example to share over 80% net income as dividend with shareholders (average about 3% dividend yield). It can be positioned as a “fixed deposit” stock (with 3% interest) as share prices have been within low optimism of $6-$8/share most of the time in the past decade.

With breakout of $8/share resistance over the past 1 year, Singapore Exchange has become a momentum stock for trading in short term to medium term. Breaking of each resistance (eg. $10/share, $11, etc) would become a signal for short term traders to Buy High Sell Higher (which requires strict S.E.T. trading plan: Stop Loss / Entry / Target Prices). Singapore Exchange stock price is not aligned to STI index, diverging in short term, mainly due to different business performance during pandemic.  Some Singapore investors like to trade “safer” stocks with business supported by Covid-19, including trading business of SGX, some healthcare and supermarket stocks (eg. Sheng Siong, SGX: OV8), etc.

2) Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE) – US NYSE Stock Exchange Giant Stock

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has 12 global exchanges, including New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the largest stock exchange in the world which has about 2800 stocks listed, many are big companies with global giant stocks could be found. Performance of ICE stock price is much better than US stock market index (eg. S&P 500), mainly contributed by its strong business growth with acquisition of other global and local exchanges.

Dr Tee has been to NYSE (11 Wall Street) stock exchange in New York, twice over the past 3 decades. The famous Charging Bull sculpture is nearby, remembering the 1987 Black Monday stock crisis.  Indeed, human has proven that every global financial crisis could be overcome eventually, including the current Covid-19 crisis. Even the trading floor of NYSE was closed for a period of time during pandemic but modern online trading has overcome this weakness easily.

ICE is strong in earnings and cash flow with consistent growth over the decade, suitable to position for growth investing, leveraging on long term growth of US / world economy.  Covid-19 induced global stock crisis has corrected ICE share price by 1/3 but it has been recovering well, aligning to US stock market. ICE could be an alternative investment to US indices (eg. S&P 500 or NASDAQ) as its performance in shorter term is similar but much better in longer term.

3) Nasdaq Inc (NASDAQ: NDAQ) – US NASDAQ Stock Exchange Giant Stock

Nasdaq stock (NDAQ) has 9 global exchanges, including NASDAQ stock exchange in US and 8 other exchanges in Europe (major shareholder of NASDAQ is Swedish Wallenberg family through Investor AB). NASDAQ is the second largest stock exchange in the world which has about 3300 stocks listed, many are technology companies with global giant stocks could be found. Performance of NASDAQ stock (NDAQ) price is aligned with US stock market index (eg. S&P 500 & NASDAQ), having strong business fundamental but at the prices of relatively higher liability.

NDAQ stock is highly cyclic in prices, aligning with volatile prices of technology sector stocks within NASDAQ stock exchange.  After the burst of technology bubble in Year 2000, NASDAQ stock index dropped to 1/3 of value and NDAQ stock was cut by half in share prices.  Covid-19 induced global stock crisis has corrected NDAQ share price by about 40% but it has been recovering well, aligning to US stock market. NDAQ stock could be an alternative investment to NASDAQ stock index as its long term growth performance is stronger and less volatile than index.

4) Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEx: 388) – Hong Kong Stock Exchange Giant Stock

History of Hong Kong stock market is longer than 100 years. So, Hong Kong stock exchange is more mature and closely regulated than younger stock exchanges of Shanghai and Shenzhen in China.  It has experienced British administration (100 years before Year 1997 when returning to China), therefore there is strong western styles in financial system.  Despite Shanghai has emerged has new financial center for China, Hong Kong is always the main financial gateway to the western world, especially through the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEx) is a strong growth stock, share price over the past 2 decades has surged by 27 times from $10 to $270/share, partly due to historical opportunity of Hong Kong united with growing China after Year 1997, as well as connection of HKEx with Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, allowing capital to flow between Hong Kong and mainland China.  So, HKEx has become the first choice of stock exchange for IPO for some Asian companies who could easily leverage on capital from China and US investors, if not considering NYSE or NASDAQ stock exchanges.

A few years ago, Dr Tee has visited the building of Hong Kong Stock Exchange at The Exchange Square (building is owned by a property giant stock, Hongkong Land, listed in SGX: H78). However, most of the trading are done online, therefore the physical trading floor is closed permanently since Year 2017, the current Covid-19 crisis does not affect the electronic transaction.  In fact, Singapore and global investors could invest in Hong Kong stocks easily with pressing of a few buttons in online trading.  There is no withholding tax for dividends of Hong Kong stocks (unlike US stocks require 30% withholding tax for dividends to foreign investors). So, HKEx could gain from both global and local stock investors.

HKEx stock is still strong growth in business but the growth in share prices is slower, therefore entering low optimism in long term. Similar to SGX stock in the past decade (ranging between $6-$8/share for cyclic trading), HKEx stock is still suitable for medium term cyclic trading to Buy Low Sell High every few years, following medium term optimism strategy. Performance of HKEx stock is aligned with Hang Seng stock index in short term but performing much better in longer term.

5) Bursa Malaysia (Bursa: 1818) – Malaysia Stock Exchange Giant Stock

Bursa is Malaysia stock exchange has about 800 stocks listed, many are local companies with businesses in Malaysia. Therefore, there are many local stocks in sectors such as agriculture, plantation and manufacturing.  So, a stock with such business may not do well in Singapore (due to higher cost of business operation) but could become a giant stock in Malaysia due to unique local advantage.  So, the choice of giant stocks in each stock exchange is different, promising sectors could be country dependent.

Bursa stock (1818) is more cyclic in nature (suitable with Buy Low Sell High, applying long term optimism strategy), falling by nearly half (relative to peak price) in recent Covid-19 global stock crisis, just recovering from long term low optimism.  Bursa stock performance is much stronger than KLCI stock index, recovering to price before Covid-19. Fundamentally, Bursa stock is stagnant in business growth, therefore may not be suitable for long term investing. However, there are many other giant stocks within Bursa stock exchange worth consideration for long term.

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There are 30 STI index component stocks including Singapore Exchange (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

Stock exchange is a gateway for businesses to leverage on enormous capital from local and global investors through stock trading and investing.  Stock performance of a stock exchange is also a reflection of a country stock market strength and economy growth, especially over a longer term. A smart investor may consider to invest in stock exchange stock directly (usually lower risk due to its unique financial role, especially if it is a monopoly stock) or having the choice to invest in individual giant stocks listed under the stock exchange.

Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr investment course to learn how to position in global giant stocks with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Learn further from Dr Tee valuable 7hr Online Course, both English (How to Discover Giant Stocks) and Chinese (价值投资法: 探测强巨股) options, specially for learners who prefer to master stock investment strategies of over 100 global giant stocks at the comfort of home.

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9 Stocks of Frasers Property & Thai Beverage (醉翁之意不在酒)

Posted on May 5, 2020 Written by
FCT Frasers Centrepoint Trust Thai Beverage Frasers Property Stock Market

Behind each giant stock, there is usually a giant businessman.   In this article, you will learn the business empire of the third richest person in Thailand, Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi with not 1 but 9 F&B and property stocks (6 Singapore stocks & 3 Thailand stocks):

1) Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92) – Singapore Giant F&B Stock

2) F&N (SGX: F99) – Singapore F&B Stock

3) Frasers Property (SGX: TQ5) – Singapore Property Stock

4) Frasers Centrepoint Trust, FCT (SGX: J69U) – Singapore Giant Retail REIT

5) Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU) – Singapore Commercial REIT

6) Frasers Hospitality Trust (SGX: ACV) – Singapore Hospitality REIT

7) Frasers Property Thailand (SET: FPT) – Thailand Property Stock

8) Frasers Property Thailand Industrial REIT (SET: FTREIT) – Thailand Industrial REIT

9) Golden Ventures REIT (SET: GVREIT) – Thailand Commercial / Hospitality REIT

These 9 stocks are in common as they all owned by Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi (苏旭明), a Chinese Thai whose Thai surname is granted by King of Thailand, showing strong reputation in Thailand. He started business originally in F&B sector (the largest alcoholic drinks producer in Thailand, eg. whiskey, beer, etc), then diversifying into property (the largest landlord in Thailand, owning with the most areas of land), becoming 2 main business pillars of his business. 

Charoen took a major action in Year 2012 to acquire F&N, which is later reorganized into “new” F&N (mainly non-alcoholic drinks business in Singapore, familiar brands such as 100plus, Fruit Tree, Seasons, NutriSoy, etc) and Frasers Property (property segment).  The new F&N after the reorganization, is no longer a giant stock, just a normal F&B company (non-alcoholic drinks usually have lower profit margin with more competition).

Frasers Property is the parent stock of property segment, including other 6 subsidiary property stocks / REITs, 3 in Singapore and 3 in Thailand. All 7 Frasers group of property stocks have reasonably good business due to stable property business but there is only 1 giant stock, Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT).

In this article, out of 9 stocks of Charoen, we will focus only in his 2 giant stocks, ThaiBev and FCT.

1) Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92) – Singapore Giant F&B Stock

Charoen expanded his empire further over the past decades with aggressive Merging & Acquisitions, into F&B of regional countries (Vietnam, Myanmar, Singapore, etc).

Initially, he planned to list ThaiBev in Thailand Stock Exchange (SET) but encountering opposing voices (alcoholic drinks) as Thailand is a Buddhism country. Eventually, ThaiBev is listed in Singapore Stock Exchange, so Singapore investors has a local giant F&B stock to consider, leveraging on growing alcoholic drinks business in Thailand and regional countries. ThaiBev is 1 of the 30 STI component stocks, proving its strength in stock and business.

FCT Frasers Centrepoint Trust Thai Beverage Frasers Property Stock Market

ThaiBev is a growth stock, strong in business fundamental with growing business and solid cash flow.  However, debt level is high, especially in acquisition of Sabeco beer business in Vietnam. The share prices over the past decade has gone up 5 times, facing 2 times of major price corrections of nearly 50% during high debt period and again over the past few months of global stock crisis. Currently, the stock price has gradually recovered together with global stock markets. Unlike other sectors of business which may be affected by black swan such as Coronavirus pandemic, ThaiBev is defensive in F&B business (during the last Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009, business was stable).  Perhaps during crisis, people may consume more alcoholic drinks to forget the pains? Besides 5 times capital gains in stocks, ThaiBev gives consistent dividend with about 3% yield currently. It is a good midfielder stock for both capital gains and passive income.

There are 30 STI index component stocks including Thai Beverage (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing): DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

2) Frasers Centrepoint Trust, FCT (SGX: J69U) – Singapore Giant Retail REIT

Besides Capitamall Trust, CMT (SGX: C38U), Frasers Centrepoint Trust is another giant retail REIT, both control most of the shopping malls in Singapore.  FCT has 7 shopping malls (Causeway Point, Waterway Point, Northpoint City, Bedok Point, Changi City Point, Anchorpoint, YewTee Point) but about half of rental revenue is from Causeway Point, having portfolio concentration risk but tenants distribution are diversified with over 99% occupancy rate for Causeway Point.

FCT Frasers Centrepoint Trust Thai Beverage Frasers Property Stock Market

Besides consistent growing dividend payout record (average 5% dividend yield, it was over 7% dividend yield when share prices dropped nearly to half over the past few months of global stock crisis), FCT has attracted long term investors to support the share prices by about 5 times with growing business.  FCT is a cyclic REIT, following economic cycles in stock performance, therefore more suitable to Buy Low Sell High with mega economic cycle, buying low during low optimism in global financial crisis, holding for 5 to 10+ years until high optimism, selling for capital gains.

Despite Coronavirus would affect the income distribute for the next 1-2 quarters due to possible cash reserve and also delay in rental payment by tenants, it won’t affect longer term investor with a few years of holding power, collecting over 5% dividend yield (even if DPU may be cut by 50%, still more than bank interest rate of 1%) during crisis, enjoying capital gains when crisis is over one day.

There are 52 REITs and Business Trusts Stocks in Singapore including Frasers Centerpoint Trust (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
AIMS APAC Reit (SGX: O5RU), ARA Hospitality Trust USD (SGX: XZL), ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (SGX: K2LU), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Ascendas India Trust (SGX: CY6U), Ascott Trust (SGX: HMN), Asian Pay Tv Trust (SGX: S7OU), BHG Retail Reit (SGX: BMGU), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Retail China Tr (SGX: AU8U), CDL Hospitality Trust (SGX: J85), Cromwell Reit EUR (SGX: CNNU), Cromwell Reit SGD (SGX: CSFU), Dasin Retail Trust (SGX: CEDU), Eagle Hospitality Trust USD (SGX: LIW), EC World Reit (SGX: BWCU), Elite Commercial Reit (SGX: MXNU), ESR-REIT (SGX: J91U), Far East Hospitality Trust (SGX: Q5T), First Reit (SGX: AW9U), Frasers Centrepoint Trust (SGX: J69U), Frasers Hospitality Trust (SGX: ACV), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU), FSL Trust (SGX: D8DU), HPH Trust SGD (SGX: P7VU), HPH Trust USD (SGX: NS8U), IREIT Global (SGX: UD1U), Keppel Infrastructure Trust (SGX: A7RU), Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (SGX: CMOU), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U), Lendlease Reit (SGX: JYEU), Lippo Malls Trust (SGX: D5IU), Manulife Reit (SGX: BTOU), Mapletree Commmercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (SGX: RW0U), NetLink NBN Trust (SGX: CJLU), OUE Commercial Reit (SGX: TS0U), ParkwayLife Reit (SGX: C2PU), Prime US Reit (SGX: OXMU), RHT HealthTrust (SGX: RF1U), Sabana Reit (SGX: M1GU), Sasseur Reit (SGX: CRPU), Soilbuild Business Space Reit (SGX: SV3U), SPH Reit (SGX: SK6U), Starhill Global Reit (SGX: P40U), Suntec Reit (SGX: T82U), United Hampshire US Reit (SGX: ODBU).

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宋·欧阳修《醉翁亭记》：“醉翁之意不在酒，在乎山水之间也”。

A stock investor may not need to be an alcoholic to invest in F&B giant stock such as ThaiBev. Similarly, Charoen is smart to hide his fortune in property (a way of diversification), one could outsmart him by investing in his best giant REIT, FCT.  The higher level of investing is to leverage on Top 10 richest persons in each country or even in the world as your defender, investing in their best giant stocks at lousy prices during low optimism period, eg Global Financial Crisis when others are fearful.

There are 30 STI index component stocks including Thai Beverage (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

It is better to learn how to fish (investing), instead of waiting for the fishes (stock investing ideas). Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr investment course to learn how to position in global giant stocks with 10 unique stock investing strategies, knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Learn further from Dr Tee valuable 7hr Online Course, both English (How to Discover Giant Stocks) and Chinese (价值投资法: 探测强巨股) options, specially for learners who prefer to master stock investment strategies of over 100 global giant stocks at the comfort of home.

You are invited to join Dr Tee private investment forum (educational platform, no commercial is allowed) to learn more investment knowledge, interacting with over 9000 members.

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5 Cheung Kong Super Hong Kong Stocks (长江一号)

Posted on April 27, 2020 Written by
Cheung Kong Stock CKH CKI CKA Power Assets Fortune Reit HKEx HPH Trust

Sir Li Ka-Shing (李嘉诚) is the richest person in Hong Kong for decades, earning a nickname of “Superman Li” for his reputation in the business world. He was born in 1928 in Chao Zhou (潮州) of China (Dr Tee visited there several years ago, Li Ka-Shing donated a lot of money to his hometown), therefore 92 years old so far. Technically he has retired but mentally never stop working for 1 day, still an advisor to his children and his beloved Cheung Kong Holdings.

Cheung Kong Group is famous initially as a property company, then expanding over the decades, becoming a multinational conglomerate with diversified businesses. CK parent stock is assigned #1 stock ticker in HKEx stock exchange (长江一号), showing its strength as a Hong Kong blue chip giant stock. In Year 2015, there is a major restructuring of Cheung Kong, merging with Hutchison Whampoa, forming a new company Cheung Kong Holdings (registered in Bermuda, could be due to long term planning) with 2 main companies with 2 stocks:

CK Hutchison (CKH) – (HKEx: 1) – For non-property related business

CK Assets (CKA) – (HKEx: 1113) – For proper related business

This way, it is clearer to investors on choices of investment based on these 2 divisions. However, the reorganization has affected the long term analysis of Cheung Kong as there are significant relocation of assets between 2 divisions of companies.  Therefore, it is a born of 2 “new” companies with 5 years of history in integrated business reporting but share price of CKH is much longer due to its extension of former parent stock, providing additional references on share prices.  It is important for a smart investor to analyze each segment of business for both CK companies before making decision of which stock to invest.

In fact, CK Holdings have at least 11 stocks listed within the group (only 5 highlighted ones are giant stocks):

1) CK Hutchison (CKH) – (HKEx: 1) – CK Parent Giant Stock (Non-property Division)

2) CK Infrastructure (CKI) – (HKEx: 1038) – Utility Parent Giant Stock

3) Power Assets (PA) – (HKEx: 6) – Utility Subsidiary Giant Stock

4) CK Life Sciences – (HKEx: 775) – Biotechnology Stock

5) Tom Group – (HKEx: 2383) – Chinese language media stock

6) HPH Trust – (SGX: P7VU) – Port Trust Stock

7) Husky Energy – (TSE: HSE) – Energy stock listed in Canada

8) CK Assets (CKA) – (HKEx: 1113) – CK Parent Giant Stock (Property Division)

9) Fortune Reit – (HKEx: 778) – CK Giant Reit

10) Hui Xian REIT – (HKEx: 87001) – CK Reit

11) Prosperity REIT – (HKEx: 808) – CK Reit

Out of 10 CK stocks, there are 4 giant stocks included in 50 Hang Seng Index component stocks: CKH, CKA, CKI and PA.  So, technically Superman Li could move Hong Kong stock market (about 4%).  This is similar to “rival” Jardine Group, could move Singapore Straits Times Index (about 15%) with 5 component stocks. In 1980s, Li Ka-shing was aiming to “invest” more in Hongkong Land of Jardine Group but was defeated by cross-shareholding structure of Jardine (another long story, read Dr Tee earlier article on Jardine Group of 7 giant stocks).

Not all the 10 CK stocks are strong based on Dr Tee giant stock criteria. There is only 1 more giant CK subsidiary stock, Fortune Reit is a giant Reit (formerly dual listing, after delisting from SGX, now only listed in HKEx).

So, additional comments will be given below on these 5 giant CK stocks from different businesses. An investor may select either the parent group (CKH or CKA) if want to consider average of entire group business (non-property vs property) as if a fund, or focusing on smaller individual stock of subsidiaries (CKI, PA, Fortune Reit) on specific business segment.

1) CK Hutchison (CKH) – (HKEx: 1) – CK Parent Giant Stock (Non-property Division)

CK Hutchison has 5 main business segments in non-property division. Investing in CKH stock means investing in all business segments.

1.1) Port

The port businesses are relatively stable in the past but Coronavirus crisis in Year 2020 would affect the results for Year 2020. HPH trust (not a giant stock with limited business potential) is only a small part of CK port business.

1.2) Retail

Major business is Watson for health and beauty (15794 stores with 12 brands worldwide). Business growth in China and Asia are faster than in western world. This is consumer related business, therefore Coronavirus would seriously affect the business for a few quarters. Temasek is also a shareholder for Watson, was planning to sell it.

1.3) Infrastructure / Utilities

This is main passive income generator for CKH. More details later under discussions of subsidiary giant stocks CK Infrastructure and Power Assets.

1.4) Telecommunication

This segment of business is growing in general, having mixed performance in different countries. It is a more defensive business.

1.5) Energy / Investment / Others

Energy segment is making losses while other remaining business is less significant to contributing to entire group.

CKH business (non-property) is not as defensive as CKA (property), therefore over the past 5 years since the group reorganization, share price has been dropping to nearly to 1/3 from peak of $120 to $45. Despite the Price to Book (PB) ratio is 0.5 but the asset is non-property, not as high quality.  The main investing advantage for CKH is low optimism level < 25%, aligning to global stock crisis (following economic cycles) but it could suffer in business during Coronavirus crisis due to global lockdown.

Dividend yield of 5.7% is attractive but investors may need to prepare for potential 50% cut as the worst case scenario (despite CKH has good track record of consistent dividend payment) during the winter time of CKH business, implying 3% yield which is still better than holding cash with 1% interest for cash deposit in bank.  CKH has significant business in Europe, when economy is restarted, CKH quarterly business performance would improve gradually.

2) CK Infrastructure (CKI) – (HKEx: 1038) – Utility Parent Giant Stock

3) Power Assets (PA) – (HKEx: 6) – Utility Subsidiary Giant Stock

Both CKI and PA stocks may be studied together as CKH owns CKI, then CKI owns PA, all inter-related, just different ways of grouping. So, an investor may decide investing in parent company or subsidiary business specifically in utilities.

CKI has many global businesses of infrastructures and utilities (electricity, water, gas), holding strategic asset of certain countries and cities (eg. main electricity supplier of London). Power Assets invests mainly in electricity, eg. providing partial electricity supply to Hong Kong, duopoly with another giant electricity stock, China Light and Power, CLP (HKEx: 2). Readers may guess if CKH could get HKEx stock ticker #1, CLP could get stock ticker #2, implying it is another blue chip stock with proven history (if there is a chance, we may share further on CLP or other monopoly stocks in future).

Utilities business are defensive as people may not need to shop during Coronavirus pandemic or global financial crisis but they still need basic usages of electricity, water and gas. So, utilities or infrastructure related stocks usually show their strength during economic crisis as defensive stocks which could still pay dividend with steady cash flow generated, then gradual capital gains in longer term with recovery and subsequent growth of economy.

In general, both CKI and PA are having close performance in stocks, prices have dropped by half over the past 5 years (more defensive than parent stock CKH which dropped to nearly 1/3 from the peak price), dividend payment has been stable due to defensive industry, current dividend yield is over 5%.  The main “risk” of both stocks is bearish price trend over the past few years (despite at lower optimism level, buy low may still get lower in prices), not so much on business risks (minimal), therefore investors who are reluctant to catch the falling knife in prices, may wait for uptrend in prices, sacrificing passive income (dividend yield) with higher price to exchange for confirmation in price reversal to bullish range.

4) CK Assets (CKA) – (HKEx: 1113) – CK Parent Giant Stock (Property Division)

CK Assets are property-based businesses, listed as a new stock, therefore only having 5 years of share price history so far which are more defensive than CKH (dropping to 1/3), but price is cyclic in nature, dropping to half price. Price to Book (PB) ratio is also coming to a new low of 0.5, having 50% safety margin for high quality asset of property. 

However, Hong Kong property market (about 20 years for 1 market cycle) has been at high optimism after the average prices gone up by 4 times over the past 2 decades. Therefore, property stocks in Hong Kong in longer term, may suffer “loss” in valuation due to lower property prices if there are any crisis related to China or Hong Kong property bubble.  CKA at current price is 50% discount but “rival” property stock, Hongkong Land has 75% discount with PB around 0.25. So, after relative comparison with peers, CKA 50% discount in price may not be excellent.  In fact, there are many other property giant stocks in Hong Kong which are “cheap and good”, readers may learn from Dr Tee to explore more in future.

5) Fortune Reit – (HKEx: 778) – CK Giant Reit

There are 3 REITs listed from CKA parent group: Prosperity Reit and Hui Xian Reit are relatively weaker, so we focus only in Fortune Reit.  Previously, Fortune Reit has dual listing in both HKEx and SGX but now only left HKEx. There is little difference to Singapore investors as there is no capital gain tax nor dividend withholding tax for Hong Kong stocks, except HKD/SGD is currently at high optimism (HKD is pegged to USD, similar trend for USD/SGD), future potential forex loss (when USD or HKD is depreciated vs SGD) could be compensated by dividend and capital gains of Hong Kong or US stock.

Fortune Reit drops over 40% in share price over the past 2 months of global stock crisis, resulting in high dividend yield of 7.4% with consistent dividend payout of its REIT portfolio. Risks of Coronavirus is minimized as China / Hong Kong conditions are much better than the rest of the world. Social unrest (eg. Hong Kong protesters last year) is also a lower risk now. The REIT is protected by Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 0.4, rare for a strong REIT with 60% discount, implying under the worst case scenario, even if the company goes bankrupt, investors could still get back the capital (unlike other investors would suffer permanent loss buying stocks with low quality assets).  Usually PB is not a strong criteria for REIT, consistent rental collection from tenants is more important which Fortune Reit has a good track record. The REIT manager is also another familiar name: ARA Asset Management, used to be a giant stock with good reputation in Singapore but delisted several years ago (not surprise as this company is too good to share in long term with the public).

In short, investing in Fortune Reit could receive the protection from sponsor, CK Group, in addition to 60% safety margin in share price to property asset value. REIT (rental payment) could be more predictable than property-based business (eg. parent company CKA) which may suffer when property value declines. For a reit, even property value may decline, rental won’t fall as much, especially if located in strategic places with higher populations.

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If you could read until this line, it means that you are a serious investor as Dr Tee has spend half a day to write this article, you only need less than 30 min to read but need a few more days to digest to align the right CK stocks (1 of the 5 giant stocks) to your own personality. Each of the 5 CK giant stocks has its own pros and cons, may not be suitable for everyone. Overall, they all are at low optimism < 25%, implying higher potential for longer term investors. Their main “risks” may not be on business (Coronavirus could affect for Year 2020 but may not for long term), but more on bearish stock price trends since the group reorganization in 2015 till now. Global investors still try to find a sweet spot of balance between price and value for the “new” CK group of stocks.

Cheung Kong has been blue chip stocks for decades in Hong Kong, paying consistent dividend despite bearish stock prices or fluctuation in businesses. The main intangible “asset” of CK Group could be Li Ka-Shing, a trusted icon of CK for decades. Despite Mr Li has retired, he has transferred his business and investment knowledge to his 2 sons, Victor Li (taking over his empire of CK business) and Richard Li (inheriting most of his cash to start own business beyond CK Group). This way, 2 “tigers” won’t be in same jungle (only 1 main decision maker), smart move by a father with far vision to minimize potential family conflicts in the same business.

So, if readers may not have the same wisdom as Li Ka-Shing on investing, we may leverage on him through investing in CK group of giant stocks at lower optimism prices. Li family are unlikely to sell their stocks, therefore they would work day and night for you to grow the business as they are major shareholders (interest is aligned). Better still, readers may contribute no effort except just capital for investment at the right price (ability to press the button when seeing the signal with strategy aligning to own personality), Li family could then work for you for another generation until Victor Li may retire one day as well or passing to the third generation. Of course, you may then sell the stocks for capital gains one day or transfer the stock to your own second generation to keep.

If readers worry Li Ka-Shing may go bankrupt during global financial crisis (he went through at least 9 times over his 92 years of life experience), then smart investor may look for Top 10 richest persons in the world (Li Ka-Shing is only the 30th richest in the world), investing in their best stocks with stronger business than CK Group, forming a portfolio of Top 10 richest person’s giant stocks as a dream team portfolio.  Of course, you may not get a good discount in share prices when their businesses are very strong now, therefore stock “crisis” is usually a good opportunity to own some of these giant stocks with growing businesses.

Li Ka-shing stocks are stronger than many 50 Hang Seng HSI index component stocks or 30 STI index component stocks (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

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Are you interested to invest in giant stocks of Warren Buffett, Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos? Learn from Dr Tee Free 4hr investment course to master how to take advantage of global giant stocks and funds, know What to Buy, When to Buy / Sell. Leverage on investment education to grow your wealth in a safer way.

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Healthcare Giant Stock Q&M Dental (骨肉相连)

Posted on April 24, 2020 Written by
Healthcare Giant Stock Q&M Dental QC7

Healthcare stocks (eg. hospital business, pharmaceutical companies, vaccine development, etc.) are having competitive advantages, therefore those with growing businesses are usually growth giant stocks. Between life and money, which is more important? The choice is clear (金钱诚可贵、生命价更高) to put life at a higher priority, therefore healthcare has been a high growth sector in most countries.

Q&M Dental (SGX: QC7) is a young healthcare giant stock with focus in dental services. The company started business in year 1996, having main businesses in Singapore (79 branches), Malaysia and China.  For China, due to stronger competition and higher cost, subsidiary stock, Aoxin Q&M (SGX: 1D4) with poorer business there, is not a giant stock, not performing as good as parent stock, Q&M Dental.

Q&M Dental has so many branches all over Singapore in many convenient central locations, despite it is not a monopoly business, this ease of access has become a strong economic moat. It is hard for neighborhood experienced dentists to compete with this rising star which has sophisticated facilities (eg. x-ray, etc) and better customer services.

There was one day last year, Dr Tee tooth was not feeling well, since my teeth has been in good condition for many years, I need to go around to look for a suitable dental service.  Q&M may not be best in dental skills (some are younger dentists with only a few years of experience), so I try to book for appointment with more senior dentist with over 10 years of experience (similar to selecting a stock with long history of business performance). Despite there are 3 Q&M branches within 1km radius from Dr Tee place, I was surprised that I could not get an immediate service as appointments are required and all full until the next day.  To cut the story short, a dental checkup with clean was over $100 (normal rates, Q&M has help the dental industry by setting some minimal standard fee), finally become a more serious issue which needs root canal operation and crowning, spending over $2000 as I engaged the most senior specialist for a more reliable service (not life and death issue but a good tooth could last lifetime is crucial when observing my own parents).

For certain non-urgent health issues, it is possible for some people to drag or ignore it to save cost. However, when there is sudden tooth pain (骨肉相连), even within Coronavirus pandemic, there is no choice but to visit a dentist ASAP. Therefore, dental industry is a consistent growing business and price is non-negotiable (demand more than supply). There are shortages of dentists in Singapore. There are about 2000+ dentists in Singapore, over 10% are from Q&M. To overcome this issue, Q&M has even started own College of Dentistry to train future dentists for own companies (perhaps cost could be lower). I observed my own dentist has to be multi-tasking, attending to 2 patience in 2 rooms within the same hour (while another patience is waiting, eg taking mold for crown, etc).

A few months ago, when Dr Tee students were reviewing Q&M stock, the prices were at lower optimism level, especially during the Coronavirus pandemic period with global stock crisis. Q&M has growing business, profitable with strong cash flow. This year, it will give special dividend (ex-dividend in May 2020), an investor could get about 5.5% dividend yield (usually about 2% dividend yield). Q&M share price is undervalue considering the growing business for decade but share prices have been declining over the past 5 years, dropping more than half to 36 cents, last 6 years low.

Recently, share prices of Q&M surged suddenly by 2 times to about 70 cents, mainly because of a news that Q&M has acquired a company with COVID19 testing capability.  Similar to another healthcare stock, Biolidics (SGX: 8YY), share prices also shoot up by a few times which are purely speculative trading.  Biolidics is not a giant stock but investors assume it would become a giant, benefiting from Coronavirus crisis. Question is, after the health crisis is over, can the company continue to sustain a few times of business growth to support the share prices? Therefore, after senses are back, share prices of both Q&M and Biolidics are corrected to more normal high prices to reflect the positive hopes.

In fact, Q&M has strong business fundamental in dental services, does not need this speculative news at all. It is good that few people aware of this stock. Unfortunately, the share prices go up too fast, hope readers have chance to buying at lower optimism before that when prices were below 40 cents.

Some people may not care about stock investing but they do worry of rising healthcare and dental cost as human body and teeth are similar to a car, there could be “wear and tear”, need repair and maintenance each year to stay in top condition. Dental cost could be minimal, still over $100 for regular check-up, also could be over a few thousand dollars if getting complicated (eg. tooth implant). A mechanics could ensure a car is fully repaired before charging the fee. However, a dentist or medical doctor could not guarantee a service will have positive results but patients still need to take the risk and pay for full services.

Let Dr Tee show readers a way to get free dental or even medical services for lifetime. It is simple, just look for giant dental or healthcare stocks (eg. hospital related), buying their shares at lower optimism prices. Even healthcare stocks usually don’t give a lot of dividend, for $10000 capital, minimal 2-3% dividend yield could pay $200-$300 for regular dental check-up of a small family. Healthcare stocks usually are positioned more as midfielder, minimal dividend with higher growth for capital gains (eg. over 10% appreciation in yearly share prices, could be $1000, could help to pay for minor surgery cost).

Q&M Dental is still a young giant stock, performance is not as steady as other proven global healthcare giant stocks. So, a smart investor may leverage on high healthcare costs overseas, investing in those giant stocks to profit from rising healthcare industry.

There are 37 Healthcare Stocks in Singapore including Q&M Dental (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
Accrelist Ltd (SGX: QZG), Alliance Healthcare (SGX: MIJ), Aoxin Q & M Dental (SGX: 1D4), Asia Vets Holdings (SGX: 5RE), AsiaMedic (SGX: 505), Asian Healthcare Specialists (SGX: 1J3), Beverly JCG (SGX: VFP), Biolidics (SGX: 8YY), Cordlife (SGX: P8A), First Reit (SGX: AW9U), Haw Par Corporation (SGX: H02), HC Surgical Specialists (SGX: 1B1), Healthway Medical Corporation (SGX: 5NG), Hyphens Pharma International (SGX: 1J5), IHH Healthcare (SGX: Q0F), ISEC Healthcare (SGX: 40T), IX Biopharma (SGX: 42C), Lonza Group (SGX: O6Z), Medinex (SGX: OTX), Medtecs International Corporation (SGX: 546), OUE Lippo Healthcare (SGX: 5WA), ParkwayLife Reit (SGX: C2PU), Pharmesis International (SGX: BFK), Q&M Dental Group (SGX: QC7), QT Vascular (SGX: 5I0), Raffles Medical Group (SGX: BSL), RHT Health Trust (SGX: RF1U), Riverstone Holdings (SGX: AP4), SingMedical Group (SGX: 5OT), Suntar Eco-City (SGX: BKZ), TalkMed (SGX: 5G3), Thomson Medical Group (SGX: A50), Tianjin Zhong Xin Pharmaceutical Group (SGX: T14), Top Glove Corporation (SGX: BVA), Trendlines Group (SGX: 42T), UG Healthcare Corporation (SGX: 41A), Vicplas International (SGX: 569).

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7 Jardine King of Singapore Stocks (狮城股王)

Posted on April 10, 2020 Written by
Jardine Group SGX Jardine Matheson J36 Jardine Strategic Holding J36 Jardine Cycle & Carriage C07 Astra Asii Mandarin Oriental Hotel M04 Hongkong Land H78 Dairy Farm D01 Singapore Stocks Creative Technology C76 Berkshire BRK NYSE Sheng Siong OV8

Jardine Group is not just a company, it is a giant group with nearly 200 years of business history (started in 1832, then controlled by Keswick family for many generations till now).  Jardine group of companies cover many industries, eg. engineering, automotive, properties, hotel, supermarkets, etc.

Jardine group has 7 giant stocks (Jardine Matheson, Jardine Strategic, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, Astra, Hongkong Land, Dairy Farm, Mandarin Oriental Hotel), all are falling to very low optimism (mostly with optimism <10%) over the past 2 months of global stock crisis.  Since 5 of Jardine giant stocks (except Mandarin Oriental Hotel and Astra International – listed in Indonesia) are 30 STI component stocks (contributing to about 15% weightage), it has the strongest influence to Singapore stock exchange, more than individual stock of 3 major banks (DBS, OCBC, UOB) and Singtel.

There are 30 STI index component stocks including 5 Jardine stocks (investor has to focus only on giant stocks for investing):
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), Hongkong Land (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

6 Jardine stocks listed in Singapore Stock Exchange are secondary listing (primary listing in London Stock Exchange) and traded in USD (currently at high optimism vs SGD). USD usually performs better in bear market (safe haven), weaker during bull market, the longer term forex disadvantage of USD/SGD (about -2%/year USD depreciation) could be compensated by higher growth of 10+%/year of Jardine stock prices.

So, let’s learn to position in 7 Jardine stocks, all are giant stocks based on Dr Tee criteria but each Jardine stock has different characteristic, which may be considered for different personality of investors.

1) Jardine Matheson Holding – JMH (SGX: J36)

2) Jardine Strategic Holding – JSH (SGX: J37)

Jardine Matheson Holding, JMH is “King” of Singapore stocks (狮城股王), the highest share price in Singapore stock market history. JMH share price was peak around US$70/share a few months ago, before falling by 30% during Coronavirus crisis to about US$50/share. It is costly to invest even with minimum of 100 shares per lot (price in USD) = $50 x 1.43 (USD/SGD) x 100 = S$7150.

Highest stock price may not be always a giant stock, although most of the time, high stock prices are giant stocks, higher prices due to growing business over the decades. For example, world’s most expensive stock, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK) managed by Warren Buffett, 1 share alone could be US$344,000 (nearly S$500k, could buy a 5-room HDB flat), currently selling at discount of US$290,000 (for details of Berkshire stock, refer to free eBook by Dr Tee on global Top 10 stocks).

The former Singapore stock king was Creative Technology (SGX: C76) with over S$60/share peak stock price recorded in year 2000 dotcom bubble. After the burst of technology bubble, not only stock price in crisis, Creative Technology also lost the giant stock title, company is no longer growing, share prices declining for 20 years till as low as $1/share. Therefore, long term investing requires monitoring of business fundamental, otherwise buy low may get lower over time, suffering huge capital loss. A common mistake for beginner in stock investing is usually buy a famous brand of stock at historical low price or 5-10 years low, assuming the price may recover in future which may not because future business is the key.

Similarly, during Coronavirus crisis, some sectors are badly affected (eg, airlines, F&B, hotel, etc), an investor needs to review whether the business with losses (more than 90% drop in revenue) could last with cash or net asset available. After the crisis is over, could the business recover quickly?

Jardine Strategic Holding, JSH is sibling of JMH, both are owning each other, a special cross-holding structure which could prevent hostile takeover. See another article of this topic: https://www.ein55.com/2017/03/jardine-group-uob-group-cross-holding-stock-network/

Both JMH and JSH stock performance are very close in longer term (eg over 10 years). Investing in either JMH or JSH is as if investing in Jardine fund of stocks with most the Jardine businesses. JMH has average of 1% higher dividend yield than JSH but JSH has average of about 1% higher yearly growth in share price than JMH, so effect is about the same. More details of JMH in earlier article: https://www.ein55.com/2016/04/choose-stocks-grow-30-times-price/


Both JMH and JSH are considered cyclic growth stocks, need to position with optimism less than 25%, best during global stock crisis or global financial crisis. Due to cyclic nature of these 2 stocks with minimal dividend for protection, it is more suitable for investing during recovery phase of stock crisis, avoid buying low get lower. When positioned right at significant low optimism in a severe global stock crisis, JMH and/or JSH may be considered for longer term holding due to high growth but need to monitor its cyclic businesses to certify that they are giant stocks (based on Dr Tee criteria) as this title of giant stock is not forever, eg. Creative Technology lost this title about 20 years ago.

“Buy Low” could only have chance to “Sell High” in longer term with condition that it is a giant stock. If not, “Buy Low” may become “Lower” in prices.

3) Jardine Cycle & Carriage – JCC (SGX: C07)

4) Astra International (IDX: ASii)

Jardine Cycle & Carriage, JCC is only a subsidiary of JSH but itself is already a giant automotive stock (familiar car brands:  Mercedes-Benz, Toyota, Honda and Kia). JCC also owns Indonesian automotive giant stock, Astra International (listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange).

JMH owns JSH, JSH owns JCC, JCC owns Astra. So, it is as if 4 levels of stock connection but stock performances are close. JMH and JSH could be considered together (either one). Similarly, JCC and Astra may be considered together through JCC (if easier to invest in Singapore stock than Indonesian stock, Astra).

JCC is a dividend growth giant stock (not for Astra), suitable for investing during low optimism stock market, protected by nearly 6% dividend yield (assuming car business drops during crisis, 50% cut in dividend still has about 3% dividend yield left, more than 1% bank interest rate for cash). When crisis is over, likely the growing business will justify for normal distribution of dividend. However, since it is not a REIT (by law needs to distribute 90% taxable income to shareholders as dividend), the company has the right to choose not to give dividend. Over the past 10 years, JCC has record of giving around 3% dividend yield, current high dividend yield of nearly 6% is mainly due to price dropped by about 50% over the past few months of global stock crisis, therefore dividend yield is doubled from 3 to 6%.

If one believes the Coronavirus crisis or any future crisis are unlikely to stop people from buying cars more than 1 year (eg. could not get out of home for 1 year to view the cars in showroom), then crisis in JCC stock prices could be an opportunity. However, for Q1-Q2/2020 with less shoppers due to global lockdown, there could be temporary drop in business which may be justified by 50% discount in share price.

5) Hongkong Land (SGX: H78)

Hongkong Land is a well-known property stock, owning grade-A commercial properties in both Hong Kong central and Singapore marina area. There are quite a few past articles by Dr Tee on Hongkong Land (https://www.ein55.com/tag/hongkong-land/), mainly an undervalue property stock. However, over the past few years, buy low may get lower as Hongkong Land is not only following Jardine group, also affected by Level 2 property sector (Hong Kong / Singapore) and Level 3 stock property, as well as political economy (eg. over 100 days of Hong Kong protesters last year before Coronavirus crisis).

Among all the 7 Jardine giant stocks, Hongkong Land is the “safest” due to property asset selling at over 70% discount (price to book ratio, PB, is less than 0.3). The high dividend yield of 5% (eg from property rental) is a bonus for long term investor of Hongkong Land, providing passive income (even if 5% dividend yield is cut by half for next 12 months, still suitable as defender), no issue even if “crisis” of any form (protester, virus, etc) may last more than 5 years. During Coronavirus crisis, tenants of property could lose money due to less shoppers but landlord (Hongkong Land) still could collect stable rental.

Mid-term risk of Hongkong Land could be high property valuation in Hong Kong may not be sustainable if the average 20 years property cycle of Hong Kong falls from high optimism. So far Coronavirus only affects global stock markets and badly affect business of certain sectors, but not yet on property sector. Even so, long term outlook for Hong Kong and Singapore property sectors are steady gradual growth as a country surrounded by sea with limited land but nearly unlimited future population (both has the top 10 highest population density in the world with growing economy for decades) would support the growing property prices in decades to come.

In short, investing in Hongkong Land stock is an investment in Singapore and Hong Kong countries through as integrated stock and property markets.

6) Mandarin Oriental Hotel (SGX: M04)

Mandarin Oriental Hotel is not only a hotel in Singapore, it has many hotels globally. During Coronavirus crisis, hotel (hospitality sector) is badly affected. So, investor needs to monitor Q1 and Q2/2020 results of Mandarin Oriental Hotel before making decision.

Mandarin Oriental Hotel is a marginal giant stock, the weakest among 7 Jardine stocks. Even before Coronavirus crisis, business fundamental has been declining. Despite 60% discount in hotel asset with PB of 0.4, Mandarin Oriental Hotel is not as valuable as Hongkong Land.

For short term or mid-term cyclic trading strategy, this stock may be considered if there is a strong reversal in price trend, especially when Coronavirus condition may improve but risk is relatively higher than other 6 Jardine stocks.


7) Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01)

Dairy Farm is famous of its supermarket and consumer business (Wellcome, Cold Storage, Seven Eleven, IDEA, etc) in Hong Kong, Singapore and regional countries. During Coronavirus period, supermarket business should perform better (see how crowded when lockdown was announced) as is a consumer staples business, people still need to eat and drink, if they could not go out from home.

However, before Coronavirus crisis, Dairy Farm only has average business performance. It even sells some its seven eleven stores. It has stable dividend payment record, about 4% yield currently, possible to position as midfielder role. Competitor supermarket stock, Sheng Siong (SGX: OV8) performs better than Dairy Farm for business and stock prices. Sheng Siong has recovered the “losses” in stock prices as business is doing too good during Coronavirus period. Sheng Siong is only a young giant stock but does well in the current global stock crisis, having potential to be a true giant stock in future with more proven record.

Therefore, not all sectors are affected by the same crisis. Investor may explore stocks with stable businesses, leveraging on market fear to ask for over 20% discount in those growth stocks. Crisis is Opportunity when stock prices fall due to fear but business is still strong. Crisis is crisis when stock prices fall mainly due to weaker business.

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In summary, all 7 Jardine stocks are giant stocks at low optimism. However, the stock prices have been bearish for a few years, undervalue asset becomes more undervalue each year. Therefore, these Jardine stocks may not possible for traders without strong holding power as buy low may get lower in short term to medium term, unless there is a clear reversal in stock prices to uptrend again.

For long term investors who apply undervalue investing may consider Hongkong Land and Jardine Cycle & carriage stocks which pay over 5% dividend yield (but assume this amount may be cut by 50%). For very conservative investor, Hongkong Land with over 70% discount in asset value (PB < 0.3) is another strong consideration, even if Hongkong Land could not survive the unlikely Great Depression (<5% chance it may happen), investors may not lose the capital due to high safety of margin.

Strategies for investing in Jardine group is similar as other giant stocks at low optimism, multiple entries, eg 1, 3 or 5 “bullets” of capital, first entry at low optimism < 25%, subsequently optional entries could be either downtrend (5-10% lower, average down for investing) counter-trend investing or uptrend (5-10% higher, average high for trading) follow-trend trading if optimism is still less than 25%. It is fine if only 1 “bullet” (1 entry) is triggered (eg. stock market has V-shape recovery), future may follow short term or mid term trading for actions, to be reviewed again.

Sharing above for 7 Jardine stocks are for educational purpose (almost spend 1 day of Dr Tee valuable time writing this long article, hope it is an useful reference for readers). Please make your own decision with independent thinking. If you could read until this sentence, implying you have the determination to learn and apply stock investing.

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Drop by Dr Tee free 4hr investment course to learn how to position in global giant stocks of growing sectors with 3 value investing strategies (undervalue, growth, dividend stocks), knowing What to Buy, When to Buy/Sell.

Learn further from Dr Tee valuable 7hr Online Course, both English (How to Discover Giant Stocks) and Chinese (价值投资法: 探测强巨股) options, specially for learners who prefer to master stock investment strategies of over 100 global giant stocks at the comfort of home.

You are invited to join Dr Tee private investment forum (educational platform, no commercial is allowed) to learn more investment knowledge, interacting with over 9000 member.

Dr Tee Investment Course (Stock, Property, Commodity, Forex, Bond)
Filed Under: Stock Market Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Change Horse Strategy: SIA to SATS (塞翁失马)

Posted on March 28, 2020 Written by
SIA C6L SATS S58 SGX

Nightmare of a long term investor is to hold on to a weak fundamental stock with declining share prices over the decade, wasting both time and capital. It is painful to cut loss halfway, therefore many retail traders (especially those who follow tips to invest) may initially plan for short term trading but when encountering global stock crisis falling from high stock optimism, making losses, forced to be a long term investor since then.

Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), SIA, is not a giant stock nor junk stock, under-performing in business (see details of SIA stock in another earlier post), both long term investors (hold for 10 years) or short term traders (hold for 1 month) may make significant losses. So, some investors may be mentally conditioned (despite having option) to subscribe to new rights and bonds issues to avoid future share dilution, investing more new capitals in unknown future of SIA in competitive airlines industry.


Many people may think big names (especially blue chip stocks with decades of history) equals to strong companies. SIA is a big reputable company, therefore some may think it is also a good stock investment, especially backed by Temasek, 55% major shareholder.

There are at least 26 Temasek / GLC stocks in Singapore including Singapore Airlines and SATS, controlling shareholder with 15% or more ownership directly or indirectly (investor needs to focus only on giant Temasek stocks):
Singtel (SGX: Z74), DBS Bank (SGX: D05), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), SIA Engineering (SGX: S59), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), SATS (SGX: S58), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), Sembcorp Marine (SGX: S51), Olam (SGX: O32), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Ascott Hospitality Trust (SGX: HMN), Ascendas Hospitality Trust (SGX: Q1P), CapitaLand Retail China Trust (SGX: AU8U), Ascendas-iTrust (SGX: CY6U), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Keppel Reit (SGX: K71U), Keppel DC Reit (SGX: AJBU), Keppel Infrastructure Trust (SGX: A7RU), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), Mapletree NAC Trust (SGX: RW0U).

Temasek stocks portfolio also affect about 15% of STI index stocks, which has strong impact on Singapore stock market. Here are 30 STI component stocks:
DBS Bank (SGX: D05), Singtel (SGX: Z74), OCBC Bank (SGX: O39), UOB Bank (SGX: U11), Wilmar International (SGX: F34), Jardine Matheson Holdings JMH (SGX: J36), Jardine Strategic Holdings JSH (SGX: J37), Thai Beverage (SGX: Y92), CapitaLand (SGX: C31), Ascendas Reit (SGX: A17U), Singapore Airlines (SGX: C6L), ST Engineering (SGX: S63), Keppel Corp (SGX: BN4), Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68), HongkongLand (SGX: H78), Genting Singapore (SGX: G13), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX: C07), Mapletree Industrial Trust (SGX: ME8U), City Development (SGX: C09), CapitaLand Mall Trust (SGX: C38U), CapitaLand Commercial Trust (SGX: C61U), Mapletree Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU), Dairy Farm International (SGX: D01), UOL (SGX: U14), Venture Corporation (SGX: V03), YZJ Shipbldg SGD (SGX: BS6), Sembcorp Industries (SGX: U96), SATS (SGX: S58), ComfortDelGro (SGX: C52).

We may study Temasek portfolio (about 40 global stocks, about half are giant stocks, half are non-giant stocks, based on Ein55 giant criteria), focusing on top 10 Temasek giant stocks, buying them at low optimism prices (could be lower than Temasek’s entry price for some stocks now), selling them at high optimism prices in future, protected by Temasek (eg. even for non-giant stocks: Olam, SIA, etc).

Temasek has a giant stock, SATS (SGX: S58), spinoff from SIA many years ago. Although both SATS and SIA are low optimism stocks (both related to airlines industry, suffering in Coronavirus crisis), SATS is a much better opportunity than SIA to buy at low optimism.

SATS controls about 80% of Changi Airport’s ground handling and catering business. SATS has 2 main businesses (about half each), gateway services and food catering services (including to non-airlines sectors). Similar to SIA, SATS is also affected by airlines sector crisis due to Coronavirus spreading, over 90% flights are down, business will be affected in next 12 months. However, in a longer term, SATS has 2 times stronger business fundamental than SIA. The performances of 3 key financial statements over the past decade are exactly opposite for SATS and SIA:

Income Statement:

SATS = increasing earnings

SIA = declining earnings

Balance Sheet:

SATS = increasing equity, declining debt / equity

SIA = declining equity, increasing debt / equity

Cashflow Statement:

SATS = increasing free cashflow

SIA = declining free cashflow

At current share prices, SIA is about 4.9% dividend yield (potential value trap, crisis is crisis), SATS is 5.6% dividend yield (crisis is opportunity).

For SIA investor who holds to SIA stocks with losses but could not sell due to loss aversion, may sell SIA and buy SATS on the same day with same capital remaining (fine even if 50% loss), transferring the fund (soul) from a old horse (SIA) to a young horse (SATS) which has a brighter future and strong energy than SIA to climb higher for capital gains in long term.

This is Dr Tee (Ein55) powerful “Change Horse” Strategy, suitable for those “stubborn” long term investors holding losing stocks for many years. This is a strong Personal Analysis (PA) method as an investor could tell husband or wife that they never actually sell the stock (eg. SIA), just change the stock name to SATS, offspring of SIA. This is important for those who assume sell a losing weaker stock implies immediate loss, they could continue to hold the stock but through transfer of capital to another giant stock, future winning probability would be higher than continue with than the weak stock (may be worse if double the investment with average cost strategy with new rights).

SIA vs SATS may not be the best example to illustrate “Change Horse” strategy because SIA is not a junk stock and SATS is a giant stock but suffering Level 2 (sector) crisis of airlines industry. This strategy will be even more powerful if readers could apply changing a junk stock with a strong giant stock in a promising sector (low optimism in stock prices but not having crisis in business or sector).

A mistake (eg. making losses in stock investing) is not a mistake if one could learn from the mistake, not too late, even knowing after this article. It is a blessing in disguise（塞翁失马、焉知非福）if an investor could learn to overcome own biggest enemy (oneself) to change a weak stock with a giant stock immediately. SATS may not be the best example to “change horse” as there are over 1500+ global giant stocks based on Ein55 giant stock criteria, one may select 10 giant stocks aligned with own unique personality to form a dream team stock portfolio.

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