Top 10 Global Blue Chip Stocks – Dream Team Portfolio

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There are over 40,000 stocks in the world, a smart investor has to carefully choose Top 10 global blue chip stocks aligned with own unique personality as investment portfolio to grow the wealth.

A smart investor should form a dream team portfolio with global Top 10 stocks for both passive incomes and capital gains. Let’s learn step-by-step with a portfolio of 10 global blue chip stocks with strong fundamentals in 8 growing sectors (Bank, Property, REIT, F&B, Casino, Consumer, Oil & Gas, ETF), applying Ein55 Optimism as investment clock, waiting patiently to buy low in global financial crisis and sell high in bullish stock market for tremendous potential return.  These Top 10 stocks are diversified over 4 countries: 4 from Singapore, 3 from USA, 2 from Hong Kong, 1 from Malaysia.  Strength and opportunities for each stock and suggested strategies will be explained.

Stock investment is not just what to buy, the mastery of investment clock is crucial, knowing when to buy and sell to maximize the profit.  In general, Buy when Optimism <25%, Hold or Wait when Optimism 25-75%, Sell when Optimism >75% (see sample Ein55 Optimism in Figure below).

 

(#1)  ICBC (Hong Kong, HKEx: 1398), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China

Defender / Midfielder Strategies: For long term investing, collect stable dividend payment as passive income with China and Temasek protection. Maximize dividend yield when buying stock at low optimism.  For medium term trading, apply Ein55 Optimism to buy low sell high every few years for quicker capital gains.

Banner 1 - ICBC

ICBC is the largest bank in China and also the whole world (based on current share price and valuation).  The business with stable growing fundamental is supported by strong economy in China with large population.  Temasek is a major shareholder, providing stability to the share prices, an additional shield of defense for investors.  With increasing US and global central bank interest rates, the outlook for banking and finance stocks are positive as the net interest margin (NIM) will help the global banks to grow in earnings until the next global financial crisis.

Current Ein55 Optimism of ICBC is high at 78% (see Figure above), in addition to hold for stable 6% dividend yield, an investor also has an option to sell the stock first, buying back when share price drops to below 25% Optimism in future, aiming to maximize the dividend yield.  Since global stock market is at high optimism, an investor has to take note of the signals of global financial crisis which would affect the global banking and finance stocks significantly.  Crisis is an opportunity if an investor knows when to buy a strong fundamental stock at price with low Ein55 Optimism.

ICBC is a bank stock, cyclic in nature due to volatile China / Hong Kong stock market and economic cycles.  Therefore, besides being a “Defender” stock (dividends only), it may also be considered as a “Striker” (capital gains only) or “Midfielder” (capital gains and dividends) for trading in medium term, following trends to long or short, gaining from average 65% profit from medium-term volatility of share prices with cyclic investing every 2-3 years.

 

(#2)  Berkshire Hathaway Class-B (US, NYSE: BRK.B)

Midfielder Strategy: High-growth fund for capital gains with Warren Buffett wisdom when buying at low optimism

Banner 2 - Berkshire - B

Warren Buffett is the richest investor in the world.  Berkshire Hathaway represents an average performance of Buffett’s investment portfolio.  Berkshire Class-A stock is very expensive, approaching $300,000 for 1 share, mainly suitable for high net worth individuals or big funds with long term investment strategies as the stock did not pay dividend, there was no change in number of shares, all the retained earnings for decades are accumulated and reflected in its growing share prices.  Berkshire Class-B stock is a more affordable option for retail investors, pro-rated at 1/1500 price of the Class-A stock, below $200 / share currently.

Berkshire Class-B allows an easy way for retail investor to diversify over a portfolio of strong fundamental stocks owned by Warren Buffett. Despite Berkshire is a growth giant stock, it is still susceptible to systematic risk of economy cycle. During global financial crisis in 2008-2009, Berkshire share price was halved due to excessive market fear. An investor who follows Ein55 Optimism to buy below 25% Optimism, the current share price has gone up by 3 times, currently at high optimism of 79% (see Figure above).

As an investor, one has 3 possible options for investing in Berkshire stock.  Firstly, assuming a buy & hold long term strategy, one may continue to hold the stock despite at high optimism but using the strong fundamental to overcome the next global financial crisis. This option is only suitable for those who have strong investor mindset, bought the share at low optimism price last time. Secondly, an investor may adopt cyclic investing approach, selling Berkshire stock first, buying back at <25% Optimism in future. This option is suitable for those investors who know how to integrate trading and economy cycle investing into overall strategy. Finally, a smart investor has the choice of buying better stocks than Warren Buffett, i.e. focusing on a few best component stocks of Berkshire to achieve higher growth than Berkshire but still enjoying the protection by Warren Buffett as a major shareholder of these few stocks.

The remaining 8 of the Top 10 blue chip stocks in dream team portfolio with key summary of strategies and Ein55 Optimism Investment Clock can be found here (30 pages eBook). Click to Download FREE eBook #1 by Dr Tee: “Global Top 10 Stocks – Dream Team Portfolio” (latest version of eBook with complete guide of What to Buy, When to Buy, When to Sell).

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In the same eBook Download link, reader will get another FREE eBook #2 by Dr Tee: “Global Market Outlook 2018” covers comprehensive investment topics: Stock, Property, Commodity, Forex, Bond and Political Economy.  Past readers have benefited from the analysis. Learn to position for each market crisis and opportunity with Ein55 Optimism Strategies.

Table of Contents (eBook: Global Stock Market Outlook 2018)

  1. Mass Market Sentiment Survey
  2. Review of Global Stock Markets
  3. US Market Outlook (Economy, Stock, Property, Commodity, Bond, USD)
  4. Regional Market Outlook (Europe, China, Hong Kong)
  5. Singapore Market Outlook (Stock & Property)
  6. Conclusions and Recommendations

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The key of stock trading and investing is to match our goals with our personalities, there are at least 10 different strategies to choose.  When Ein55 Optimism Strategies are combined with Fundamental Analysis (value investing & growth investing), Technical Analysis (support / resistance / trends), and Personal Analysis (mind control of greed and fear), it is very powerful when one is able to take the right action (Buy, Hold, Sell, Wait or Short) at the right time aligning with own personality.

The unique Optimism Strategy developed by Dr Tee provides a special advantage to know which investment (stock, forex, property, commodity, bond, etc) to buy safely, when to buy, when to sell, including option of long term holding.  So far over 10,000 audience have benefited from Dr Tee high quality free courses to the public.  Take action now to invest in your financial knowledge, starting your journey towards financial freedom.

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Speaker - 20 years

 

3 Special F&B Stocks in Singapore

Ein55 Newsletter No 063 - image - F&B

Food & Beverages (F&B) stocks are usually cash cows, collecting cash or credit cards for payment after meals. It is easy to monitor the business, even if one does not know how to read financial reports, you just need to be a customer one time, see whether you will go back again to the same restaurant. Let’s analyse 3 different types of F&B stocks.

Jumbo (SGX: 42R) is a young giant stock to be proven further in the next few years.  I still remember a few years ago when I visited this restaurant, they requested the dinner must be completed by 8pm when we went there around 6:30pm, this is how they could maximize the capacity by giving fast service.  Its business fundamental has been reported strong since IPO, one way which earning could growth is through more successful expansion plan overseas. Now we could also enjoy their chili crabs in 3 branches in China.  Perhaps one day it may be like Breadtalk, can be found in global major cities.

 

Breadtalk (SGX: 5DA) will help Ding Tai Fung, the famous Taiwanese Restaurant (usually full house or long queue), to enter the UK market.  Market is no longer limited to the small 5 millions population of Singapore, whole world is the market but the judgment of taste could vary from one country to another country.

Breadtalk has been recovering from low optimism over the last 1 year when price was below $1.10.  Congratulations to Ein55 Graduates who have taken action, recent share price is around $1.30, more than 20% gains.  For Ein55 Graduates, they have learned how to position for Breadtalk through a homework.

 

Auric Pacific (SGX: A23), another F&B stock, is acquired by the main shareholder.  This is truly a F&B stock in Singapore, covering our 3 meals, owning familiar brands of Sunshine Bread (breakfast), Food Junction (Lunch) and Delifrance (Dinner).

Auric Pacific is not really a giant stock (based on Ein55 Giant Detector) but the share price dropped to half in the last few years, creating opportunity for main shareholder to buy low and fully own the company.  The offer price of $1.65 is at 100% Optimism, a selling price worth consideration for existing minority shareholders.

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There are about 50 F&B stocks in Singapore, we should only consider the Top 5 stocks. Super Group is rated as No 3 F&B Giant, acquired a few months ago.  How to know which are giant F&B? Ask yourself, where will you and your friends go for breakfast, lunch and dinner?  Too subjective?

Alternatively, apply Ein55 Giant Detector to identify the F&B giants in Singapore and globally, then use Optimism Strategy as investment clock to own these cash cows when other people are fearful or not interested. Investing is as easy as that but not everyone has the patience to wait for the “meals” to be served for so long!  Know yourself, finding the right business partner for you by owning their shares.

 

Jardine Group and UOB Group with Cross-Holding Stock Network

Ein55 Newsletter No 059 - 2017-03-07 - Jardine Cross Holding

Company A owns Company B. In return, Company B also owns Company A. This is a complex cross-holding of stock network. Let’s learn how smart investors in Jardine Group and UOB Group, using the complex structure to hide their undervalue gem of stock.

Jardine is a giant group of stocks with nearly 200 years of history for Jardine Matheson Holdings, originally from China/Hong Kong, then having dual stock listing in London and Singapore stock exchanges. Ein55 Graduates have already considered Jardine Group of stocks: Jardine Strategic Holdings (SGX: JSH), Jardine Matheson Holdings (SGX: JMH), Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGXL C07), Hong Kong Land (SGX: H78) last year when their Optimism levels were still low, share prices have gone up more than 20% since then when the market fear has subsided.

There is an interesting history for the cross-holding structure for Jardine group (image source: seekingalpha).  Hong Kong richest person, Mr Li Ka-Shing planned to increase ownership in Hong Kong Land in 1980s, the Jardine group with Keswick family defended their control, forming JSH which owns JMH, in return JMH also owns JSH, very hard for any hostile takeover with this complex share structure.

UOB chairman, Mr Wee Cho Yaw also has a similar cross-holding network of stocks under UOB Group. There is a hidden gem in Wee family stock portfolio.  Ein55 Graduates have learned in the last Charity Course (Discounted Asset Stock) on this special stock.  The stock structure is so complex that undervalued stock could not be seen easily.

Ein55 Newsletter No 059 - 2017-03-07 - Wee Cho Yaw

Normal investors could only buy at fair price because they don’t know how low is considered low for a share price. Traders would buy at high price, following trend to sell at higher price.  Speculators would consider when there is good news with surge of more than 20%, buying at higher price, hoping to sell at highest price.  Due to difference in entry prices, their reward / risk ratio will be different.

Ein55 Graduates have learned to buy giant stocks at unfair price with low optimism.  For long term investors, some even consider low optimism from level 1 (business), level 2 (sector), level 3 (country) to level 4 (world).

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Speaker - 20 years

Crisis Stock: Noble Group vs Iceberg (壮士断腕、可悲可泣)

Ein55 Newsletter No 057 - image - cut arm

Poor Noble Group (SGX: N21), just about to recover, Iceberg is back with new report. Similar to Ezra and Cosco, it is a crisis stock with declining business and stock price.

It is not suitable to apply conventional method to analyze Noblle Group. Technically it is like a new company now, most of the good assets are sold to save the company by paying the debt. It may not have the same power to recover to the past glory.

Since it is a trader stock, fundamental will be relatively not so critical as in a bullish market, even weak fundamental stock could rise many times under speculation. It is more suitable for short term trading, using short term TA signals. 23 cents support was broken downward, combining with Iceberg (negative PA), tough on Noble. It is still above the intermediate support of 20 cents.  There is no need to guess for trading, prices with support and resistance will show us the probability.

NAV (Net Asset Value) criteria may not be suitable for Noble Group as it becomes asset light business, the asset quality is also a question mark. Good assets are properties and cash, many company have these quality assets, some with discounted share price.

Iceberg may be shorting all the way on Noble to low optimism with profits. If Iceberg is profit driven, similar to hedge fund, they could change to long position to “accept” Noble now, so that they could profit from recovery of Noble. Since Iceberg is still consistent in their negative views, it deserves some respect as they have principles. At low optimism, even for lousy business, very little profit potential to short a stock. With recovery of commodity market, Noble could have survived the greatest business crisis.

In ancient time, a warrior could cut off own arm to save one life when bitten by poisonous snake. Noble has cut his arm of core asset to save from 2 “snakes” with multiple bites from Iceberg and Muddy Water, starving in a cold winter (commodity crisis).  It deserves a chance to recover.

壮士断腕、可悲可泣。

 

How to Profit 70% from Acquisition of ARA Asset Management Stock by Li Ka-Shing?

ein55-newsletter-no-046-image-ara-banner

 

ARA Asset Management (SGX: D1R) is one of the Top-20 giant stocks in Singapore, based on Optimism Strategies with consideration of FA (Fundamental Analysis), TA (Technical Analysis) and PA (Personal Analysis).  Let’s learn how to grab the next opportunities following similar approach, taking action ahead of the potential big bunds.

ARA is a REIT manager with consistent earning, major shareholders are John Lim (CEO), Cheung Kong (Li Ka-Shing) and Straits Trading.  Due to the weak property market outlook, the stock price has been declining in the past 3 years from high optimism (over 75%) to low optimism (below 25%), creating a rare opportunity for potential investors who could identify the hidden treasure and wait patiently for the acquisition or recovery in share price.

ARA share price was falling below $1.10, considered low optimism, suitable for investor to buy low again.  There is no surprise when the major shareholders have decided to offer to acquire ARA recently as they know the true value of their own business.  As a result, ARA share price is approaching offer price of $1.78/share, gain of 70% over the last 1 year.

 

ein55-newsletter-no-046-image-ara-optimism

We should learn to find the other Top 20 Giant stocks in Singapore with high value, buying at discounted price at low optimism, ahead of other potential big buyers who are also looking for these cash cows.  Investment clock is very critical to profit consistently from stock market.

Most people may think Singapore stock market is stagnant but actually it is a good time for big funds to acquire good business at low price. If we can understand the mindset of big funds who are value investors, taking actions before them, then there is no surprise of the big gains in short time with the acquisition.  Earlier successes by Ein55 Graduates were SMRT, Sim Lian, CM Pacific and Super Group, all are value or growth stocks acquired so far.

 

Gain 50% in 1 month on Cash Cow – Super Group with Optimism Strategies

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Most people may think Singapore stock market is stagnant but actually it is a good time for big funds to acquire good business at low price.  Previously Ein55 Graduates have gained from acquisitions of SMRT (by Temasek) and Sim Lian (by Chairman, Mr Kuik).  The target this time is on Super Group which Ein55 Graduates have prepared, following Dr Tee Optimism Strategy.

Super Group (SGX: S10) is one of the Top-10 food & beverage stocks in Singapore, based on Optimism Strategies with consideration of FA (Fundamental Analysis), TA (Technical Analysis) and PA (Personal Analysis).  Let’s learn how to grab the next opportunities following similar approach, taking action ahead of the potential big bunds.

Super Group is a strong cash cow in the defensive food & beverage sector. Following Optimism Strategies (see chart below), there are 3 opportunities in the past 7 years for an investor/trader to gain repeatedly from this giant stock:

 

Opportunity #1 (Long): From Years 2009 to 2013

It was a bullish period for Super Group as earning is tripled during this period. An investor could buy <25% Optimism ($0.30 or below) and sell >75% Optimism ($1.20 or above), minimum gain is 4 times!

 

Opportunity #2 (Short): From Years 2013 to 2016

In the last 3 years, due to regional economy slowdown and strong competition in consumer market, profit has declined, share price has dropped from over $2 to $0.80, about 1/3 of the peak price.  A trader could gain tremendously from the falling down of prices through shorting strategy, from high optimism ($1.70) to low optimism ($0.85).

 

Opportunity #3 (Long):  From Year 2016 till now

Falling in earning of Super Group has stabilised this year, share price below $0.90 is considered low optimism, suitable for investor to buy low again.  There is no surprise when the Dutch fund has decided to offer to acquire super Group recently as they know the true value of his own business.  As a result, Super Group share price went up 50% in the last 1 month from $0.80 – $0.90/share, approaching offer price of $1.30/share, gain of 50% in a short time.

ein55-newsletter-no-044-image-super-group-optimism

We should learn to find the Top 10 food & beverage stocks in Singapore with high value, buying at discounted price at low optimism, ahead of other potential big buyers who are also looking for these cash cows.  Investment clock is very critical to profit consistently from stock market.

 

Ein55 Charity Course: Discounted NAV Stocks (Summary of Key Learning Points)

ein55-newsletter-no-041-image-charity-dnav-course

The earlier two Ein55 Charity courses on REITs/BT (Nov 2015) and High Dividend Stocks (Mar 2016) were great successes (click links above to read the reports), enriching the investment knowledge of Ein55 graduates in dividend income approach, helping other needy people at the same time. Chye Tin, an Ein55 Graduate Mentor and successful investor, together with Dr Tee, have organized the third Charity Course, Discounted NAV (Net Asset Value) Stocks for capital growth on 17 Sep 2016, part of a series of 4 investment courses based on practical strategies.

The responses from Ein55 Graduates were overwhelming, about 220 students have attended this Charity Course, learning how to choose stocks with significant discounts in good assets, when to buy and sell them in future with investing-for-capital growth strategies, integrating advanced Fundamental Analysis and Ein55 Optimism Strategies.

The net income from this Charity Course is donated to Tzu Chi to help more needy people.  It is an honour that the management of Tzu Chi 慈济 (Singapore), Mr Sim, also attended this charity event, sharing how Tzu Chi has helped numerous needy people regardless of races, religions and nationalities.  Through the combined effort of all Ein55 Graduates, we have donated directly and indirectly, an amount of $15,400 to Tzu Chi in this third Charity Course.

We hope to inspire more Ein55 Graduates to reach out the society, helping others who are in need.  More importantly, they have also learned the secrets of making money through investment. When more Ein55 Graduates are as successful as Chye Tin, they could also contribute back to the society to help more people in future.

Here are key learning points in this Discounted NAV Stocks course:

1) Before invest our money in any stock, we should learn to apply 2 investing strategies:

– Invest for Income – focus on REIT or/and High yield stock (non REIT),

– Invest for Capital Growth – based on its asset or earning / cash flow growth

2) Discounted Asset Strategy – valuation of company business base on the Net Asset Value (NAV) listed in current Balance Sheet. Then, we determine the net CASH that would be received if all assets were sold and liabilities paid off.  Various discounts will be applied based on different quality of asset classes.  It is safe to buy stock with share price below the Discounted NAV.

3) Ensure the Discounted NAV stocks are fundamentally strong (checking several additional FA criteria, eg. Earning per Share > 0), not to fall into the value traps.

4) Combine with Ein55 Optimism Strategies to decide BUY/SELL points

BUY – when low optimism (<25%)

SELL – when high optimism (>75%)

5) One Discounted NAV stock fulfilled all the criteria mentioned above is HongKong Land (SGX: H78), click here to read analysis on this stock.  There are many undervalue Singapore and global stocks, we should learn to form a portfolio to own these Discounted NAV stocks.

We should drive the money (helping others when you are successful), not driven by the money (making money for own gain).  Investors should learn the unique Optimism Strategies developed by Dr Tee to choose strong global stocks, buying them at low price, then holding for consistent dividend payout or selling for capital gains.  Free high-quality investment courses are provided by Dr Tee to the public.

 

Top 10 Property Stocks – Next Target for Acquisition

Ein55 Newsletter No 036 - image - Property Stocks

Singapore property market becomes bearish over the past 3 years after 7 rounds of cooling measures by government.  As a result, Singapore property stocks become more valuable with stagnant stock price and high property asset value.  There are many property counters in Singapore with share price below the net asset value (NAV), i.e. Price to Book ratio, PB < 1. These stronger property stocks become the potential target for merging and acquisition.  Potential buyers and investors learn to buy good assets at discounted price, therefore considering good Singapore property stocks during bearish property market now.

Sim Lian (SGX: S05) is one of the Top-10 property stocks in Singapore, based on Optimism Strategy with consideration of FA (Fundamental Analysis), TA (Technical Analysis) and PA (Personal Analysis).  There is no surprise when the Chairman and major shareholder, Mr Kuik, has decided to offer to acquire Sim Lian recently as he knows the true value of his own business.  Although the buyout offer of $1.08/share is the historical high price, if we analyse deeper, since the IPO in year 2000, both the share price and NAV have grown up more than 10 times with dividend yield of about 8% (based on last price before acquisition), this is only a fair price as the value has grown up as well over the years.  In fact, Sim Lian has been at low optimism (<25%) over the past 1 year before the acquisition news, the second best investing opportunity since the subprime crisis in years 2008 – 2009, when it was also at low optimism.  The offer price of buyout ($1.08/share) is near to NAV of the stock, the return compared to Day1 of stock price ($0.08/share) is over 1000% return in the last 16 years.

Ein55 Newsletter No 036 - image - Sim Lian

We should learn to find the top 10 property stocks in Singapore with high value, buying at discounted price at low optimism, ahead of other potential big buyers who are also looking for these valuable discounted assets.  Property stocks could be in crisis when the interest rates are higher and the property cooling measures last for another few more years.  Therefore, we should only consider giant property stocks with strong fundamentals, not just any stock with price discount, buy low and sell high or wait patiently for future acquisition.

 

Top 10 Singapore REITs for Passive Income and Capital Growth

Ein55 Newsletter No 038 - image - REITs

There are total of 40 REITs in Singapore, a popular investment option for retirement through passive income. By law, 90% of disposable income from REITs must be redistributed back to shareholders through dividends.  However, not all the REITs are profitable, an investor could lose money if choosing the wrong one, eg. pursuing the highest yield REIT.  REIT is an integrated investment between stock market and property market, knowledge of both markets are required to be successful.

In general, a good REIT should have strong fundamentals and DPU (Distribution per Unit) should grow over the time.  At the same time, we could also profit from good REITs through capital appreciation of share price and net asset value of properties.  A good REIT investor not only knows how to choose the REIT, but also masters the investment clock to buy / sell / hold the REIT.  Let’s learn together with the case study below on Capitaland Mall Trust.

Capitalmall Trust (SGX: C38U) is one of the Top-10 REITs in Singapore, based on Optimism Strategy with consideration of FA (Fundamental Analysis), TA (Technical Analysis) and PA (Personal Analysis).  The DPU, dividends and operating cashflow are increasing over the years, current dividend yield is about 5%.  At the same time, an investor could have profited 3 times in capital gains of share price ($0.75 to $2.25) from IPO till now (see chart below).

Ein55 Optimism of Capitamall Trust is 35% now, implying the upside is more than downside for its share price in long term perspective.  When Optimism is below 25% for Capitamall Trust (Level 1), Singapore REITS Index (Level 2), Straits Times Index (Level 3) and MSCI World Index (Level 4), it will be an ideal time to become REITs investor.  The dividend yield could be significantly increased if an investor could wait patiently for this REIT giant to fall down in share price during the next regional or global financial crisis.  After buying low, when the REITs have recovered again, an investor will have an option to sell high to take profit for capital gains or hold long term for passive income.

Ein55 Newsletter No 038 - image - CMT (Updated Aug 2017)

We should learn to find the top 10 REITs in Singapore with excellent business for our investment portfolio, buying at discounted price at low optimism, ahead of other potential big buyers who are also looking for these valuable assets.  Certain REITs stocks could be in crisis when the interest rates are higher and the property cooling measures last for another few more years.  Therefore, we should only consider giant REITs stocks with strong fundamentals, not just any stock with price discount, buy low and sell high or hold patiently for both capital appreciation and passive income.

The safest time to buy a stock is when everyone is afraid the sky will fall down while the business is still operating normally with consistent performance. This could be a rare opportunity to buy during a crisis, we should learn how to take this advantage to truly buy low sell high.

When Optimism Strategies are combined with Fundamental Analysis (value investing & growth investing), Technical Analysis (support / resistance / trends), and Personal Analysis (mind control of greed and fear), it is very powerful when one is able to take the right action (Buy, Hold, Sell, Wait or Short) at the right time aligning with own personality.

The unique Optimism Strategy developed by Dr Tee provides a special advantage to know which investment (stock, forex, property, commodity, bond, etc) to buy safely, when to buy, when to sell, including option of long term holding.  So far over 10,000 audience have benefited from Dr Tee high quality free courses to the public.  Take action now to invest in your financial knowledge, starting your journey towards financial freedom.

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Speaker - 20 years

Roller Coaster Investment Strategy with Walt Disney in Global Financial Crisis

Ein55 Newsletter No 033 - image - Disney

You are tortured with turning upside down, but still willing to pay to exchange for this experience. This is the glamour of Disneyland, a defensive recession-proof entertainment industry, which you could profit through investment partnership with Walt Disney stock, a nearly 100 years old business.

There are many mega theme parks in the world, why there are so many people fascinated about Disneyland? Personally I have been to Disneyland in Florida, California, Japan and Hong Kong.  The new Disneyland is opening in Shanghai, overwhelming response, a new gold mine for the company.  Disney’s power is with its intangible asset of brand, for so many years, from watching Disney cartoons to movies and all kinds of Disney related products. Everyone of us still has a childhood dream which becomes real only in the world of Disney.

Enjoy the rides, including the roller coaster. My first experience with roller coaster was in Six Flags Texas when I was still an undergraduate many years ago, trying the world Tallest wooden roller coaster at that time. The outcome is predictable, I was so nervous and scared, not enjoyable at all. After so many years of roller coaster experience, I learn to be flexible, following the trend of movement (eg. move the body when turning together), imagining it is only a swing or a bird flying in the sky, then I could enjoy it.

We can learn a lot about investment from the rides:

1) Following the mega market trend. It is painful when we try to move against it.  Each of us should define our comfortable levels of rides, from short term trading, mid term trading to long term investing.

2) Cyclic movement, what goes up will come down. That’s why we should buy low sell high, not following our emotions of greed and fear.  For experienced riders, they actually becomes fearful when roller coaster is hanging at the peak because they know the predictable next move: falling down!

3) At the end of ride, you will be fine.  If we learn how to find giant stocks, regardless up and down in share prices, eventually the business is still making money each month and each year, we will become the final winner.

Ein55 Newsletter No 033 - image - Disney Chart

Walt Disney stock (NYSE: DIS), is falling from its peak of $120, currently at 65% long-term Optimism (see chart).  In the last stock market cycle, an investor could apply Optimism Strategy developed by Dr Tee to buy Walt Disney at $24 (25% Optimism) in year 2009, selling at $120 (75% Optimism) in year 2015 with potential gain of 5 times.  For investors, they should have sold the stock in 2015 as the risk of falling is 65% with limited upside (35%).  At the same time, regional crisis including Brexit and economy slowdown, has created a mid-term low optimism, suitable for trading Walt Disney.  The right action or strategy depends on our personality.

Walt Disney is a global giant stock worth consideration during crisis at Level 3 (country/regional crisis) or Level 4 (global financial crisis) for investing.  The earning per share over the past 10 years is consistently growing (see chart). I am not surprised if this brand could exist for another 100 years because our children will pass this unique memory to future generations who may continue to pay for this childhood dream.  We should learn when and what price to buy Walt Disney for trading or investing.